Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 1

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Ríver PI		Águia de Marabá

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.23	3.13	2.86
	2.23	3.13	2.86
	2.28	3.24	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.68)	3.15 ↓ (3.3)	2.88 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ríver PI
40.1%

Draw
28.6%

Águia de Marabá
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

27.3%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ríver PI has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ríver PI's performance.

Águia de Marabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Águia de Marabá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ríver PI than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ríver PI that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Águia de Marabá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Braga ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 1, Felipe Para ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 1, Felipe Para ⚽,

Preview

Ríver PI is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Águia de Marabá is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ríver PI
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
27.03.24	Ríver PI - ABC	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Juazeirense - Ríver PI	4:1 ✺
20.03.24	Ríver PI - Altos	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
16.03.24	Ríver PI - Parnahyba	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Parnahyba - Ríver PI	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLTTT
- Águia de Marabá
Brazilian Copa Grao Para
05.04.24	Águia de Marabá - São Francisco	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
30.03.24	Paysandu - Águia de Marabá	4:0 ✺
27.03.24	Águia de Marabá - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Caeté - Águia de Marabá	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.03.24	Águia de Marabá - Capital FC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTWW

Ríver PI - Águia de Marabá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide