Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 8

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday


	Ríver PI		ABC

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.5
	1.68	3.5	4.5
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.62	3.5	4.8
	1.64	3.56	4.91	Watch
	1.66	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.54)	3.53 ↓ (3.76)	4.57 ↓ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ríver PI
54.5%

Draw
25.7%

ABC
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24.2%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

23.3%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ríver PI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ríver PI than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ríver PI, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Ríver PI - ABC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joanderson (G) 3. Coelho N. M. 9. Daivison 10. Felipe Para 5. Iago Felipe 6. Izaldo 7. Joao Paulo 11. Ju 8. Knupp 4. Leandro Amaro 2. Vivico	1. Carlos Eduardo (G) 4. Augusto 9. Daniel Cruz 16. Douglas Skilo 5. Gustavo Daniel 17. Lucas Oliveira 6. Romario 10. Sammuel 2. Vitor Marinho 8. Walfrido 3. Wesley
Substitutes
19. Caique Valdivia 17. Darlan 18. Doda 12. Heitor (G) 16. Josue 21. Kakim 15. Lucas Souza Nascimento J. 14. Pedro Costa 24. Pereira C. F. M. P. (G) 22. Ribeiro de Oliveira D. 20. Ronald Bele 13. Vinicius	19. Henrique 15. Kawan 14. Renan 7. Ruan 18. Vinicius Amaral 12. Wellington (G) 13. Yuri Ferraz

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Vitor Marinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lucas Oliveira ↓, Renan ↑,
46', Ju ↓, Caique Valdivia ↑,
62', Vivico 🟨,
67', Izaldo ↓, Josue ↑,
68', Knupp ↓, Ronald Bele ↑,
68', Vivico ↓, Doda ↑,
71', Walfrido ↓, Ruan ↑,
72', Sammuel ↓, Vinicius Amaral ↑,
77', Coelho N. M. 🟨,
78', 0 - 1, Vitor Marinho ⚽,
81', Douglas Skilo ↓, Yuri Ferraz ↑,
83', Joao Paulo ↓, Ribeiro de Oliveira D. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 7 and 7).

Recent matches Ríver PI is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ABC is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

ABC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ríver PI is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ríver PI won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ríver PI won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ríver PI
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.03.24	Juazeirense - Ríver PI	4:1 ✺
20.03.24	Ríver PI - Altos	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
16.03.24	Ríver PI - Parnahyba	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Parnahyba - Ríver PI	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.03.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Ríver PI	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTTTW
- ABC FC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.03.24	ABC - Sport Recife	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	América RN - ABC	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
17.03.24	América RN - ABC	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.24	ABC - Brusque	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
09.03.24	ABC - Potyguar Seridoense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
05.09.16	Ríver PI - ABC	0:2
02.07.16	ABC - Ríver PI	4:0

Ríver PI - ABC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide