Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 22

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Rēzekne		Mārupe

	1	X	2
	3.16	3.84	1.96	Watch
	3.42	3.65	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.68)	3.75 ↑ (3.74)	1.92 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rēzekne
27.8%

Draw
24.5%

Mārupe
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

24.4%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

20.7%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rēzekne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rēzekne than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Rēzekne - Mārupe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maslobojevs A. (G) 7. Aogaki S. 30. Bovkuns N. 18. Galajs A. 15. Ivenkovs P. (C) 10. Petrovs A. 17. Rahman A. 13. Romanovs E. 11. Sako A. 22. Timofejevs G. 19. Zukovs D.	1. Zandreiters R. (G) 11. Cebotarjovs V. 26. Jansons K. 6. Komorovskis K. 17. Korolcuks R. 7. Korsaks K. (C) 37. Korzans R. 19. Krievins R. 14. Oliynyk M. 20. Speks R. 21. Strauss G.
Substitutes
27. Aborkins V. 4. Bogdanovs A. 3. Hscanovics R. 6. Kedrins A. 29. Rivcs E. 23. Silkans G. (G) 14. Visnakovs D. 21. Zencenko K.	12. Bareika K. (G) 18. Roga R. 10. Sadovnikovs R. 15. Seliverstovs A. 16. Sula M. 22. Zarovs N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Petrovs A. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Strauss G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Korsaks K. ↓, Sula M. ↑,
64', Speks R. 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Aogaki S. ⚽,
76', Cebotarjovs V. ↓, Zarovs N. ↑,
79', Romanovs E. 🟨,
81', Krievins R. ↓, Sadovnikovs R. ↑,
84', Aogaki S. 🟨,
86', Zukovs D. ↓, Hscanovics R. ↑,
90+1', Sako A. ↓, Aborkins V. ↑,
90+3', Strauss G. 🟨,
90+5', Bovkuns N. ↓, Zencenko K. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7).

Recent performances by Rēzekne have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mārupe has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mārupe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mārupe is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rēzekne won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Rēzekne won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rēzeknes BJSS
Latvian 1 Liga
27.09.25	Augšdaugavas - Rēzekne	0:5 ✺
21.09.25	Rēzekne - Skanstes	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Rēzekne	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Rēzekne - Riga 2	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Ogre United - Rēzekne	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWL
- Mārupes SC
Latvian 1 Liga
28.09.25	Mārupe - Skanstes	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Riga 2 - Mārupe	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Mārupe - JDFS Alberts	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Rīgas FS 2 - Mārupe	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Mārupe - Smiltene	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
24.05.25	Mārupe - Rēzekne	1:1
19.10.24	Mārupe - Rēzekne	1:1
30.06.24	Rēzekne - Mārupe	1:1

Rēzekne - Mārupe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide