The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rīgas FS 2 56.7%
Draw 22.9%
Mārupe 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
24.2%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
23.4%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rīgas FS 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rīgas FS 2's performance.
Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mārupe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rīgas FS 2 than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rīgas FS 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mārupe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
89.5%
10.5%
0%
Rīgas FS 2 - Mārupe Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
AH +1 - Mārupe (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Rīgas FS 2 will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rīgas FS 2 will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. RFS 2 (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Mārupe (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1 . Vilkovs S. (G) 20. Baumanis K. 19. Facu 11. Gandzs L. 4. Ilenans K. 7. Kuliks M. 2. Poldseps R. (C) 15. Rudens K. 8. Sedols D. 17. Sibass R. 10. Sylla M.
1. Zandreiters R. (G) 26. Jansons K. 23. Kirilins A. 6. Komorovskis K. 17. Korolcuks R. 7. Korsaks K. (C) 37. Korzans R. 14. Oliynyk M. 10. Sadovnikovs R. 20. Speks R. 21. Strauss G.
Substitutes
14. Boroviks S. 21. Grasmanis Lase M. 23. Jasaitis A. 22. Kirsanovs K. 12. Kuprins A. (G) 9. Melkis R. 5. Putnins P.
12. Bareika K. (G) 33. Calitis M. 9. Dobrajs M. 4. Hons R. 27. Norkuss D. 18. Roga R. 15. Seliverstovs A. 16. Sula M. 22. Zarovs N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Komorovskis K. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Baumanis K. ⚽, Sedols D. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, Sylla M. ⚽,
46', Vilkovs S. ↓, Kuprins A. ↑,
46', Baumanis K. ↓, Melkis R. ↑,
51', 3 - 1, Sylla M. ⚽,
51', Speks R. 🟨,
52', Kirilins A. 🟨,
53', Sadovnikovs R. 🟨,
58', Speks R. 🟨,
64', Kirilins A. ↓, Roga R. ↑,
65', Sibass R. ↓, Boroviks S. ↑,
70', 4 - 1, Melkis R. ⚽,
74', Sedols D. ↓, Grasmanis Lase M. ↑,
74', Kuliks M. ↓, Putnins P. ↑,
75', Korsaks K. ↓, Dobrajs M. ↑,
75', Sadovnikovs R. ↓, Sula M. ↑,
75', Jansons K. ↓, Calitis M. ↑,
88', Korzans R. ↓, Seliverstovs A. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 7)
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Mārupe has had a series of away games.
RFS 2 might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, RFS 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, RFS 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Watch
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Vilkovs S. (G) 
Facu 
Sylla M. 
Oliynyk M. 
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