Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Sámano		Sarriana

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.88	2.68
	2.65	2.98	2.79
	6.90	1.30	5.91	Watch
	2.52	3.18	2.65
	2.54	3.1	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.54)	2.69 ↓ (3)	3.34 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sámano
30.2%

Draw
38.7%

Sarriana
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

30.2%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

29.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sámano's form might have worsened.

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sámano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Sámano - Sarriana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Parro D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 1 - 1, Villaverde H. ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, Millan A. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Sámano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.09.25	Lealtad - Sámano	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Sámano - Real Oviedo B	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.25	Sámano - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:2 ✺
14.08.25	Castro - Sámano	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Sámano - Vimenor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLLW
- SD Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.09.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sarriana	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Sarriana - Lealtad	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Real Oviedo B - Sarriana	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	UD Ourense - Sarriana	5:0 ✺
02.08.25	Sarriana - Lugo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLT

Sámano - Sarriana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide