Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 15

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	São Caetano		Sertãozinho

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 (2.32)	3.3 (3.3)	2.75 (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Caetano
39.3%

Draw
27.6%

Sertãozinho
33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

29.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for São Caetano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Sertãozinho have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (-2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Roberto Baggio ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 2, Guilherme Ferreira ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

São Caetano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sertãozinho is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches São Caetano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams São Caetano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
16.03.24	Itapirense - São Caetano	1:1 ✺
13.03.24	São Caetano - União São João	1:3 ✺
09.03.24	Red Bull Bragantino II - São Caetano	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	São Caetano - Marília	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	EC São Bernardo - São Caetano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLWL
- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
16.03.24	Sertãozinho - Desportivo Brasil	2:1 ✺
13.03.24	Lemense FC - Sertãozinho	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Sertãozinho - Itapirense	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Sertãozinho - Bandeirante	1:0 ✺
21.02.24	Sertãozinho - Rio Preto	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.02.20	São Caetano - Sertãozinho	1:1

São Caetano - Sertãozinho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide