Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 13

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	São Caetano		União São João

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.08	3.11	3.24
	2.08	3.11	3.24
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.06	3.25	3.3
	2.09	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.47)	3.19 ↓ (3.24)	3.16 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Caetano
43.1%

Draw
28.3%

União São João
28.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.1%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

28.7%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Caetano's performance.

União São João has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União São João might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Caetano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União São João than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that União São João could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

São Caetano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
09.03.24	Red Bull Bragantino II - São Caetano	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	São Caetano - Marília	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	EC São Bernardo - São Caetano	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	São Caetano - Matonense	4:1 ✺
21.02.24	São Caetano - Votuporanguense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLWT
- União São João de Araras
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
09.03.24	União São João - União Suzano	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Desportivo Brasil - União São João	0:0 ✺
28.02.24	União São João - Votuporanguense	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Catanduva - União São João	1:0 ✺
21.02.24	Itapirense - União São João	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTTLW

São Caetano - União São João

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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