Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 8

Date: 21 February 2024, Wednesday


	Sertãozinho		Rio Preto

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.35	3.08	2.89
	2.19	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.44)	3.13 ↓ (3.19)	2.96 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertãozinho
40.6%

Draw
28.9%

Rio Preto
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

26.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertãozinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Rio Preto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sertãozinho that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Preto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).

Recent matches Sertãozinho is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rio Preto is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sertãozinho could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
17.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino II - Sertãozinho	4:0 ✺
10.02.24	Sertãozinho - Matonense	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Grêmio Prudente - Sertãozinho	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Sertãozinho - União São João	4:1 ✺
31.01.24	Votuporanguense - Sertãozinho	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL
- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.02.24	Rio Preto - Votuporanguense	0:2 ✺
07.02.24	Rio Preto - União São João	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Itapirense - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
31.01.24	Rio Preto - Desportivo Brasil	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	São Caetano - Rio Preto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTLT

Sertãozinho - Rio Preto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide