Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 11

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	São Gonçalo		Audax Rio

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.90	3.80
	2.00	2.98	4.05
	1.96	3.13	4.23
	2.07	2.72	4.22	Watch
	1.92	3.05	3.80
	1.93	3.12	4.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.95)	2.98 (2.98)	4.04 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Gonçalo
46.6%

Draw
30.7%

Audax Rio
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

30.4%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

28.4%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Gonçalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Audax Rio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Gonçalo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Rio than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

São Gonçalo - Audax Rio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Aldair ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1).

São Gonçalo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Audax Rio's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

São Gonçalo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, São Gonçalo is considered a favorite.

We predict that São Gonçalo will win today's game, with odds of 1.91.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Gonçalo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, São Gonçalo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Gonçalo EC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
27.06.26	Serrano FC - São Gonçalo	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
24.06.26	São Gonçalo - Serrano FC	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
20.06.26	São Gonçalo - Bonsucesso	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
17.06.26	Serrano FC - São Gonçalo	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.06.26	Araruama - São Gonçalo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWTT
- Audax Rio
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
27.06.26	Audax Rio - Resende	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Maricá - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Audax Rio - Pérolas Negras	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Audax Rio	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Cabofriense - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.06.25	Audax Rio - São Gonçalo	0:0
21.11.20	São Gonçalo - Audax Rio	1:0

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