Match Info

Paranaense - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cilmar Pedro Goergen (São José dos Pinhais)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	São-Joseense		Londrina

	1	X	2
	5	2.9	1.73
	4.75	3.1	1.82
	4.66	3.11	1.81
	4.84	3.06	1.86
	4.6	2.88	1.8
	4.87	3.02	1.77	Watch
	4.75	3.2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (4.42)	3.04 ↓ (3.13)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São-Joseense
19.1%

Draw
30.1%

Londrina
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

29.3%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

28.7%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São-Joseense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São-Joseense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

São Joseense - Londrina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diego Monteiro (G) 3. Caio Cesar 8. Dener 5. Felipe Vieira 10. Joao Mafra 14. Juninho 11. Lucas Gaucho 22. Murillo Lima 77. Pedrinho 4. Rodolfo Filemon 7. Vinicius	30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 5. Andre Luiz 9. Bruno Santos 11. Iago Teles 33. Kevyn 8. Lucas Marques 6. Mauricio Junior 18. Paulinho Moccelin 7. Vitinho 4. Wallace (C) 3. Yago Lincoln
Substitutes
29. Barbosa 27. Brian 9. Danilo Mariotto 23. Danton 19. Elias Carioca 6. Julio Rusch 2. Lucas Bauru 49. Pedro Brito 33. Raphael Carvalho 12. Samuel Deuner (G) 21. Thiaguinho 17. Wellington Nunes	17. Cardoso A. 53. Chumbinho 20. Fabiano 21. Fabricio 15. Gabriel Lacerda 70. Gilberto 34. Heron 19. Joao Pedro 32. Joao Tavares 1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 55. Rafael Monteiro
Coaches
Ageu Goncalves	Aal A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lucas Gaucho ↓, Wellington Nunes ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Pedrinho ⚽,
56', Juninho ↓, Elias Carioca ↑,
62', Vinicius ↓, Pedro Brito ↑,
71', Dener ↓, Julio Rusch ↑,
72', Iago Teles 🟨,
75', Elias Carioca 🟨,
78', Vitinho ↓, Fabricio ↑,
78', Iago Teles ↓, Joao Tavares ↑,
78', Bruno Santos ↓, Gilberto ↑,
87', Lucas Marques ↓, Chumbinho ↑,
87', Paulinho Moccelin ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
90+5', Rodolfo Filemon 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Recent performances by São-Joseense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Londrina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

São-Joseense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Londrina is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, São-Joseense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, São-Joseense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Londrina - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.02%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independente Futebol São-Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
24.01.26	Azuriz - São-Joseense	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Coritiba - São-Joseense	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	São-Joseense - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
15.01.26	São-Joseense - Cianorte	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Andraus - São-Joseense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 LWWTL
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
24.01.26	Londrina - Cianorte	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Andraus - Londrina	1:6 ✺
17.01.26	Londrina - Galo Maringá	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Azuriz - Londrina	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Coritiba - Londrina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
02.02.25	São-Joseense - Londrina	2:1
28.01.24	São-Joseense - Londrina	0:0
05.02.23	São-Joseense - Londrina	1:0
26.01.22	Londrina - São-Joseense	1:0

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