Match Info

Serie B - Round 33

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Joaquim Portugal (Minas Gerais) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guimaraes L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	19:30	Disney+, ESPN 4


	Athletic Club		Londrina

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	4.1	Watch
	1.95	3.20	3.70
	1.95	3.15	3.8	Watch
	2.03	3.49	4.08
	1.93	3.44	3.92	Watch
	1.92	3.45	4.05
	1.9	3.23	4.29	Watch
	1.97	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.93)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	3.97 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
48.1%

Draw
28.3%

Londrina
23.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Athletic Club - Londrina Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luan Polli (G) 3. Jhonatan Silva 4. Belezi (C) 19. Pool J. 22. Diogo Batista 15. Jota 16. Joao Miguel 23. Enzo Santos 17. Kauan Rodrigues 11. Max 10. Kauan Lindes	1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 75. Kaue Leonardo 44. Caio Rodrigues 4. Wallace (C) 34. Heron 5. Tarik 7. Vitinho Mota 38. Geovane Meurer 22. Joao Vitor 28. Herbert 23. Willian Pottker
Substitutes
20. Aponza W. 8. Assis 7. Bruninho 9. Carlinhos 2. Douglas Pele 5. Felipe Negrucci 18. Pedro Oliveira 12. Tony (G) 21. Vera D. 14. Yago Santos 13. Yarlen 6. Zeca	13. Andre Dhominique 19. Caina 15. Gabriel Lacerda 9. Gilberto 99. Igor Bahia 17. Joao Coni 33. Kevyn 30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 11. Pablo Dyego 96. Thalis
Coaches
Alex Souza	Rogerio Micale

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Joao Vitor (Penalty Awarded),
7', Caio Rodrigues 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Joao Miguel ⚽, Kauan Rodrigues (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pool J. ↓, Felipe Negrucci ↑,
46', Max ↓, Bruninho ↑,
46', Jota ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
62', Herbert ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
62', Geovane Meurer ↓, Thalis ↑,
63', Willian Pottker ↓, Igor Bahia ↑,
66', Jhonatan Silva 🟨,
75', Vitinho Mota ↓, Joao Coni ↑,
79', Kauan Lindes ↓, Vera D. ↑,
80', Enzo Santos ↓, Zeca ↑,
80', Heron ↓, Kevyn ↑,
82', Carlinhos 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, Joao Vitor (Penalty Awarded),
89', 2 - 2, Joao Miguel ⚽, Zeca (A),

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 15th and 18th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: )).

In recent outings, Athletic has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Londrina has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Athletic holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Athletic: Carlinhos (Inactive) Sidimar (Injury) Tavares R. (Injury) Zeca (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Londrina: Artur (Injury) Geovane Meurer (Injury) Gilberto (Injury) Guilherme Dantas (Yellow Cards) Joao Tavares (Injury) Lucas Marques (Inactive) Nino Paraiba (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Athletic: Yarlen (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Londrina: Paulinho Moccelin (Muscle Injury).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Athletic has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.8:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Athletic against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Athletic Club	35	10	14	11	40:40	0	44
18	Londrina ✔	35	8	8	19	44:51	-7	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
06.10.26	Goiás - Athletic Club	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Athletic Club - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Fortaleza - Athletic Club	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Athletic Club - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Juventude - Athletic Club	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LLTTW
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
07.10.26	Avaí - Londrina	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Londrina - Criciúma	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Vila Nova - Londrina	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Londrina - Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Londrina - Ponte Preta	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
20.06.26	Londrina - Athletic Club	2:0
Brazilian Serie C
05.10.24	Athletic Club - Londrina	2:1
02.09.24	Londrina - Athletic Club	2:3
13.07.24	Athletic Club - Londrina	2:1

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