Match Info

Paranaense - Round 4

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cilmar Pedro Goergen (São José dos Pinhais)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	São-Joseense		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.1	1.83
	4.15	3.15	1.9
	4.59	3.26	1.83
	4.2	2.88	1.85
	4.5	3.1	1.8	Watch
	4.5	3.25	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.67)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	1.84 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São-Joseense
21%

Draw
29.2%

Operário Ferroviario
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

30%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São-Joseense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

São Joseense - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diego Monteiro (G) 3. Caio Cesar 8. Dener 5. Felipe Vieira 10. Joao Mafra 14. Juninho 11. Lucas Gaucho 22. Murillo Lima 30. Niltinho 77. Pedrinho 4. Rodolfo Filemon	33. Vagner (G) 34. Andre 11. Aylon 10. Boschilia (C) 4. Cuenu J. 5. Indio 99. Leo Gaucho 6. Moraes 30. Pedro Vilhena 18. Pool J. 20. Vinicius Diniz
Substitutes
27. Brian 9. Danilo Mariotto 19. Elias Carioca 16. Joao Gabriel 6. Julio Rusch 2. Lucas Bauru 49. Pedro Brito 33. Raphael Carvalho 12. Samuel Deuner (G) 21. Thiaguinho 7. Vinicius 17. Wellington Nunes	25. Bernardo Rodrigues 3. Charles Raphael 28. Dudu Mosconi 1. Elias Curzel (G) 27. Gabriel Feliciano 92. Henrique 19. Kaua Gomes 39. Matheus Trindade 16. Miranda 88. Neto Paraiba 14. Pereira H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Andre 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Niltinho ⚽,
35', Andre ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
35', Pedro Vilhena ↓, Kaua Gomes ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Joao Mafra ↓, Wellington Nunes ↑,
59', Niltinho ↓, Vinicius ↑,
62', Indio ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
67', Lucas Gaucho ↓, Danilo Mariotto ↑,
72', Moraes ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
72', Cuenu J. ↓, Miranda ↑,
83', Juninho ↓, Julio Rusch ↑,
83', Murillo Lima ↓, Raphael Carvalho ↑,
85', Pedrinho 🟨,
90+2', Neto Paraiba 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São-Joseense won 0.

Operário PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Operário PR is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, São-Joseense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, São-Joseense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Operário Ferroviario - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.06%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independente Futebol São-Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
15.01.26	São-Joseense - Cianorte	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Andraus - São-Joseense	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	São-Joseense - Galo Maringá	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Operário Ferroviario - São-Joseense	2:1 penalties ✺
22.02.25	São-Joseense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLWLT
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
14.01.26	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Operário Ferroviario - Maringá	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Operário Ferroviario - Ferroviária	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Atlético Goianiense - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
09.03.25	Operário Ferroviario - São-Joseense	2:1 penalties
22.02.25	São-Joseense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
26.01.25	Operário Ferroviario - São-Joseense	3:0
08.02.24	São-Joseense - Operário Ferroviario	0:1
22.01.23	São-Joseense - Operário Ferroviario	1:2
19.03.22	Operário Ferroviario - São-Joseense	2:0
13.03.22	São-Joseense - Operário Ferroviario	2:1

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