Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 38

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Operário Ferroviario		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.32	Watch
	2.88	3.15	2.38
	3.01	3.3	2.36
	2.87	3.15	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	3.2 ↑ (3.15)	2.38 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
31.8%

Draw
29.1%

Ferroviária
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

29.4%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.7%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Operário Ferroviario - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Operário PR (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Ferroviária (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Ferroviária (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Operário PR (votes: 1 - 25%). Ferroviária (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Vagner (G) 2. Joao Gabriel 34. Andre 4. Rodrigues B. 29. Kaua Gomes 30. Pedro Vilhena 27. Gabriel Feliciano 13. Thiaguinho 22. Leo Silva 14. Ryan Santos 70. Leo Gaucho	41. Denis Junior (G) 2. Lucas Rodrigues 83. Erik Nascimento 13. Gustavo Medina 31. Ze Mario 5. Ricardinho (C) 10. Fabricio Daniel 8. Alencar 35. Netinho 11. Vitor Barreto 92. Carlao
Substitutes
41. dos Santos Filho M. A. (G) 97. Dudu Mosconi 35. Ferreira G. 18. Gabriel Souza 6. Jefferson 36. Leo Borges 11. Matheus Galdino 93. Renan Gustavo	20. Albano 14. Eric Melo 80. Fabio 95. Filipe Costa (G) 7. Kevin 9. Ronaldo 22. Ronaldo Alves 29. Tarik 37. Thiago Lopes 23. Thiago M. 4. Vitor Mendes 17. Ze Hugo
Coaches
Alex	Daniel Azambuja

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Netinho ⚽, Alencar (A),
26', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
37', Fabricio Daniel 🟨,
45+3', Erik Nascimento 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Thiaguinho ↓, Matheus Galdino ↑,
56', Leo Silva ↓, Dudu Mosconi ↑,
63', Vitor Barreto ↓, Fabio ↑,
63', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
70', Pedro Vilhena ↓, Ferreira G. ↑,
76', Gabriel Feliciano ↓, Jefferson ↑,
76', Joao Gabriel ↓, Gabriel Souza ↑,
78', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Kevin ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Dudu Mosconi ⚽, Matheus Galdino (A),
84', Netinho ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
84', Ricardinho ↓, Albano ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Leo Gaucho (Pen),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In recent matches, Operário PR has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ferroviária is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira (Inactive) Charles Raphael (Inactive) Giraldo J. (Inactive) Talles (Inactive)

There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson (Knee Injury) Gustavo Jundi (Injury) Ronaldo (Inactive) Thayllon (Injury)

There are questionable in Operário PR: Cristiano (Injury) Filipe Claudino (Injury) Kleiton (Inactive) Marcos Paulo (Muscle Injury) Matheus Souza (Inactive) Thales Oleques (Inactive)

There are questionable in Ferroviária: Lucas Rodrigues (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Operário PR won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Operário Ferroviario - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.1%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Ferroviária - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.52%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
15.11.25	Atlético Goianiense - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	CRB Maceio - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Operário Ferroviario - Vila Nova	2:2 ✺
27.10.25	Chapecoense - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Operário Ferroviario - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTTLW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie B
16.11.25	Ferroviária - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Athletic Club - Ferroviária	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Ferroviária - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vila Nova - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
20.10.25	Ferroviária - Paysandu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.07.25	Ferroviária - Operário Ferroviario	0:0

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