Match Info

BRAZIL: BRASILEIRO WOMEN - ROUND 12

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	São Paulo		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	6
	1.4	4.35	6
	1.39	4.41	7.13
	1.38	4.55	7.1
	1.42	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	4.36 (4.36)	6.49 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
65%

Draw
20.9%

Athletico Paranaense
14.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.5%

20.9%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

13.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Paulo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletico Paranaense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women).

The competitors look crappy now.

São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match São Paulo is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC Women
Brasileiro Women
15.05.23	Flamengo - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	São Paulo - Corinthians	0:3 ✺
29.04.23	Palmeiras - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	São Paulo - Santos	0:1 ✺
14.04.23	Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLWLL
- Athletico Paranaense Women
Brasileiro Women
12.05.23	Athletico Paranaense - Bahia	2:1 ✺
05.05.23	Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Real Brasilia - Athletico Paranaense	2:0 ✺
14.04.23	Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária	1:4 ✺
31.03.23	Flamengo - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Preview

Form

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