Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 3

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo)


	São Paulo		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.98	3.05	3.6
	2.08	3.05	3.82
	2.08	3.08	3.79
	2	2.9	3.5
	2.06	3.19	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.7)	3.1 ↓ (3.45)	3.79 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
46.2%

Draw
29.6%

Ferroviária
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

São Paulo - Ferroviária Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Carlinha (G) 7. Aline 3. Carol Gil 6. Clara 19. Crivelari 9. Gadu 11. Isa 26. Preininger V. 28. Rafa Soares 8. Serrana 4. Tayla	1. Luciana (G) 74. Andressa Pereira 20. Camila 16. Dos Santos 25. Fatima Dutra 17. Julia Beatriz 2. Kati 8. Maressa 5. Nicoly (C) 7. Seteco P. 9. Vendito
Substitutes
1. Anna Beatriz (G) 33. Calazans L. 13. Cris 5. Karla Alves 72. Mylena Carioca 16. Pereyra M. 22. Ravena 95. Robinha 24. Soraya 27. Vi Amaral	12. Amanda Coimbra (G) 14. Ana Luiza 60. Brenda Pinheiro 21. Duda Freitas 13. Grazy 11. Mariana Santos 10. Micaelly 30. Sissi 23. Thayslane

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Rafa Soares 🟨,
24', Crivelari 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Julia Beatriz ⚽,
42', Julia Beatriz 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Clara ↓, Soraya ↑,
57', Camila 🟨,
60', Kati 🟨,
62', Preininger V. ↓, Robinha ↑,
62', Gadu ↓, Pereyra M. ↑,
63', Seteco P. ↓, Thayslane ↑,
63', Julia Beatriz ↓, Mariana Santos ↑,
79', Rafa Soares ↓, Mylena Carioca ↑,
80', Dos Santos ↓, Sissi ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', Vendito ↓, Brenda Pinheiro ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 1.

São Paulo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC Women
Brasileiro Women
23.02.26	São Paulo - Bahia	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Internacional - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
04.12.25	Corinthians - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	São Paulo - Corinthians	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	São Paulo - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLT
- Ferroviária Women
Brasileiro Women
21.02.26	Ferroviária - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Ferroviária	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
04.12.25	Palmeiras - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
20.11.25	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista Women
16.11.25	São Paulo - Ferroviária	1:1
19.08.25	Ferroviária - São Paulo	1:0
Brasileiro Women
16.08.25	São Paulo - Ferroviária	2:1 penalties
09.08.25	Ferroviária - São Paulo	0:0
12.04.25	Ferroviária - São Paulo	1:0
08.09.24	Ferroviária - São Paulo	1:1 penalties
02.09.24	São Paulo - Ferroviária	2:1

São Paulo - Ferroviária: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide