The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São Paulo U20 44.6%
Draw 27.7%
Ibrachina U20 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
26%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
27.8%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo U20's form might have worsened.
Ibrachina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibrachina U20 than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ibrachina U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
21', 🟥,
22', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
São Paulo U20 is Qualified for Paulista U20 (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Ibrachina U20 is Qualified for Paulista U20 (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
São Paulo U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ibrachina U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
São Paulo U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Paulo U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, São Paulo U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
Last Results with these Odds
São Paulo U20 - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 49.8%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.