Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday


	Sporting Paulinense U20		Ibrachina U20

	1	X	2
	7.50	4.33	1.34
	6.8	4.25	1.35
	8.56	4.65	1.28
	7.5	4.31	1.37	Watch
	9.7	4.25	1.26
	7.82	4.52	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.98 ↑ (4.1)	4.39 ↑ (3.5)	1.33 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Paulinense U20
11.3%

Draw
20.6%

Ibrachina U20
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

25.6%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

25.2%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Paulinense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Paulinense U20's form might have worsened.

Ibrachina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ibrachina U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Paulinense U20 than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Paulinense U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibrachina U20 than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ibrachina U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sporting Paulinense U20 - Ibrachina U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals)).

Paulinense U20 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Ibrachina U20 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Paulinense U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, Ibrachina U20 enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Paulinense U20 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Specifically in home fixtures for Paulinense U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Paulinense U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
04.09.26	Sporting Paulinense U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	1:4 ✺
20.08.26	São Paulo U20 - Sporting Paulinense U20	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	CA Bandeirante U20 - Sporting Paulinense U20	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Sporting Paulinense U20 - União São João U20	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Sporting Paulinense U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Ibrachina FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.09.26	Ibrachina U20 - São Caetano U20	4:0 ✺
04.09.26	Piracicaba U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Ibrachina U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	São Paulo U20 - Ibrachina U20	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Ibrachina U20 - Santo Andre U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
07.08.26	Sporting Paulinense U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:1

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