Match Info

Serie B - Round 3

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: Manedo Mazzoni E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.35	3.10	3.00
	2.32	3	3.05	Watch
	2.54	3.12	3.2
	2.37	3.05	3.19	Watch
	2.45	3.05	3.2
	2.46	3.21	3	Watch
	2.38	3.15	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.25)	3.1 ↓ (3.11)	3.07 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
39.1%

Draw
30.3%

Catanzaro
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.9%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Plizzari A. (C) 4. Stivanello R. 55. Giorgini A. 3. Veroli D. 79. Molina S. 10. Rispoli F. 5. Tronchin S. 11. Lopes V. 20. Bjarkason B. 90. Okoro A. 14. Vasic A.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 24. Ruggero M. 4. Matias Antonini 26. Verrengia B. 93. Dorval M. 98. Mosti N. 10. Petriccione J. 30. Alesi G. 14. Giovane S. 9. Iemmello P. (C) 19. Koffi N.
Substitutes
17. Anghele L. 46. Brik D. 9. Burnete R. 23. Davi F. 24. Davi S. 39. Iuliano M. 25. Mixtur K. 19. Pellini M. 80. Schroot E. 21. Tait F. 12. Vadjunec R. (G) 18. Zeroli K.	91. Arditi G. 7. Buso N. 27. Candela A. 21. Cassa F. 29. Di Francesco F. 18. Garnica A. 3. Imperiale M. 1. Marietta C. (G) 31. Pecorino E. 6. Postiglione N. 80. Reita F.
Coaches
Possanzini D.	Gorgone G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Petriccione J. 🟨,
58', Matias Antonini ↓, Candela A. ↑,
59', Vasic A. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
60', Lopes V. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
71', Dorval M. ↓, Pecorino E. ↑,
72', Verrengia B. ↓, Imperiale M. ↑,
77', Bjarkason B. ↓, Davi S. ↑,
77', Okoro A. ↓, Mixtur K. ↑,
82', Petriccione J. ↓, Tchaouna F. ↑,
83', Giovane S. ↓, Garnica A. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Burnete R. ⚽, Rispoli F. (A),
87', Veroli D. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Mixtur K. ⚽, Zeroli K. (A),
89', Mixtur K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2.

Südtirol is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Catanzaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Südtirol: El Kaouakibi H. (Knee Injury) Varnier M. (Inactive) Veseli F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Catanzaro: Bashi E. (Inactive) Pafundi S. (Inactive) Tchaouna F. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Sudtirol: 2.65% Catanzaro: 0.97%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	9:3	6	11
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3

Last Results with these Odds

Südtirol-Alto Adige - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.32%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Catanzaro - the odds 3.24 are the expected chance of winning is 28.76%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
30.08.26	Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Catanzaro - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - St. Georgen	7:0 ✺
25.07.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWWWT
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
30.08.26	Pisa - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Vicenza Virtus - Catanzaro	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Catanzaro - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Catanzaro - Giugliano	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
29.05.26	Monza - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Catanzaro - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:3 penalties
Italian Serie B
31.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	2:1
24.08.25	Catanzaro - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1
12.01.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	1:1
27.10.24	Catanzaro - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0
17.02.24	Catanzaro - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:2
07.10.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	0:1

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