Match Info

Serie B - Play Offs - Final

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: U-Power Stadium (Brianteo) (Monza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:00	DSPORTS+ Plus
Brazil	15:00	ESPN 4
Mexico	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Slovenia	20:00	Sport TV3
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Ukraine	21:00	Maincast Sport
Uruguay	15:00	DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	14:00	Fox Soccer Plus
Venezuela	14:00	DSPORTS+ Plus


	Monza		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.6	4	Watch
	1.88	3.45	3.9	Watch
	1.92	3.72	4.23
	1.93	3.54	4.04	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.9
	1.92	3.68	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.62)	3.55 ↓ (4)	4.03 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
49.9%

Draw
26.6%

Catanzaro
23.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.7%

23.3%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.1%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monza's form might have worsened.

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catanzaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Monza - Catanzaro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Monza (3.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Monza will win (26 of 27 users predict this - 96.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.18% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 19. Birindelli S. 15. Delli Carri F. 44. Carboni A. 24. Bakoune A. 21. Colombo L. 32. Pessina M. (C) 7. Azzi P. 8. Hernani 47. Mota D. 10. Cutrone P.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 4. Matias Antonini 6. Fellipe Jack 27. Favasuli C. 10. Petriccione J. 20. Pontisso S. 94. Di Francesco F. 8. Pittarello F. 14. Liberali M. 9. Iemmello P. (C)
Substitutes
25. Alvarez A. 6. Antov V. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 30. Caso G. 26. Ciurria P. 28. Colpani A. 3. Lucchesi L. 14. Obiang P. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 13. Ravanelli L.	30. Alesi G. 5. Bashi E. 23. Brighenti N. 77. D'Alessandro M. 62. Frosinini R. 39. Koffi N. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 28. Oudin R. 21. Pompetti M. 32. Rispoli F. 26. Verrengia B.
Coaches
Bianco P.	Aquilani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Pontisso S. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Fellipe Jack ⚽, Pontisso S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mota D. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
46', Pontisso S. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
55', Di Francesco F. ↓, Alesi G. ↑,
63', Fellipe Jack ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
69', Cutrone P. ↓, Caso G. ↑,
70', Carboni A. ↓, Lucchesi L. ↑,
74', Bakoune A. ↓, Antov V. ↑,
78', Liberali M. ↓, Koffi N. ↑,
78', Cassandro T. ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Frosinini R. ⚽, Favasuli C. (A),
83', Hernani ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
85', Frosinini R. 🟨,
85', Mota D. 🟨,
87', Birindelli S. 🟨,
90+2', Koffi N. 🟨,
90+3', Antov V. 🟨,
90+5', Thiam D. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 2-0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Catanzaro has had a series of home games.

In this match, Monza is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Monza: Balde K. (Coach's decision) Galazzi N. (Inactive) Maric M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Ravanelli L. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Monza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Catanzaro	9	1	2	6	10:21	-11	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
24.05.26	Catanzaro - Monza	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Monza - Juve Stabia	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Juve Stabia - Monza	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Monza - Empoli	2:2 ✺
01.05.26	Mantova - Monza	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTTL
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
24.05.26	Catanzaro - Monza	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Palermo - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Catanzaro - Palermo	3:0 ✺
12.05.26	Catanzaro - Avellino	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Catanzaro - Bari	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.05.26	Catanzaro - Monza	0:2
06.04.26	Catanzaro - Monza	1:1
04.10.25	Monza - Catanzaro	2:1

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