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Current Win Probability
Catanzaro 42.1%
Draw 29.1%
Mantova 28.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.5%
28.1%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
28.2%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Catanzaro - Mantova Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 24. Ruggero M. 4. Matias Antonini 3. Imperiale M. 62. Frosinini R. 98. Mosti N. 10. Petriccione J. 93. Dorval M. 20. Pafundi S. 30. Alesi G. 9. Iemmello P. (C)
22. Bardi F. (C) 5. Tomasevic B. 29. Cella S. 27. Castellini A. 41. Silva J. 25. Ignacchiti L. 80. Kouda R. 50. Benaissa-Yahia F. 30. Bragantini D. 19. Ruocco F. 8. Ilie R.
Substitutes
91. Arditi G. 7. Buso N. 27. Candela A. 77. D'Alessandro M. 29. Di Francesco F. 14. Giovane S. 19. Koffi N. 1. Marietta C. (G) 31. Pecorino E. 6. Postiglione N. 28. Tchaouna F. 26. Verrengia B.
11. Cajazzo I. 58. Del Lungo T. 12. Gasparini M. (G) 1. Gemello L. (G) 9. Gliozzi E. 18. Keita S. 75. Kospo E. 6. Longonda J. 33. Marai C. 17. Radaelli N. 21. Trimboli S. 10. Wieser D.
Coaches
Gorgone G.
Modesto F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
18', Cella S. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Tomasevic B. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Ruocco F. ⚽, Benaissa-Yahia F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mosti N. ↓, Tchaouna F. ↑,
46', Frosinini R. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
55', 0 - 3, Bragantini D. ⚽, Castellini A. (A),
64', Dorval M. ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
64', Iemmello P. ↓, Pecorino E. ↑,
66', Bragantini D. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
66', Ilie R. ↓, Longonda J. ↑,
71', Ruocco F. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
72', Tomasevic B. ↓, Del Lungo T. ↑,
78', Alesi G. ↓, Arditi G. ↑,
83', Kouda R. ↓, Keita S. ↑,
86', Ruggero M. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 3, Matias Antonini ⚽, Pecorino E. (A),
90+3', Benaissa-Yahia F. 🟨,
90+3', Di Francesco F. 🟨,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Semi - finals).
Recent results have been tough for Catanzaro (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Mantova have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Catanzaro has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Catanzaro: D'Alessandro M.
(Injury)
Loubao S.
(Inactive)
Pogacar A.
(Inactive)
Postiglione N.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Mantova: Meroni A.
(Injury)
Radaelli N.
(Groin Injury)
Trimboli S.
(Injury)
Vesentini F.
(Injury).
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Catanzaro has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Catanzaro against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Mantova
10
5
3
2
15:11
4
18
19
Catanzaro
10
1
3
6
11:22
-11
6
Outrights of Italian Serie B for now
Mantova: 2.11% Catanzaro: 0.21%
Last Results with these Odds
Catanzaro - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Italy
International
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Pigliacelli M. (G) 
Matias Antonini 
Dorval M. 
Tomasevic B. 
Kouda R. 
Benaissa-Yahia F. 
Ilie R. 
Koffi N. 
Tchaouna F. 
Cajazzo I. 
Kospo E. 
Longonda J. 
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