Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 20

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		FeralpiSalò

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.6	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.5
	2.2	2.95	3.6	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3.78
	2.35	2.95	3.78
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.23	3.05	3.55	Watch
	2.27	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.13)	2.95 ↓ (3.14)	3.59 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
41.8%

Draw
32%

FeralpiSalò
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

30%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

31.3%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

FeralpiSalò has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	29.4%	11.8%

Südtirol Alto Adige - FeralpiSalò Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). FeralpiSalò will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poluzzi G. (G) 28. Kofler R. 55. Masiello A. 2. Scaglia F. 3. Cagnano A. 11. Ciervo R. 21. Tait F. 15. Broh J. T. 17. Casiraghi D. 23. Rauti N. 33. Merkaj S.	1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 8. Balestrero D. 23. Ceppitelli L. 87. Martella B. 66. Bergonzi F. 39. Kourfalidis C. 16. Fiordilino L. 10. Di Molfetta D. 97. Felici M. 14. Compagnon M. 9. Butic K.
Substitutes
26. Cisco A. 12. Drago G. (G) 30. Giorgini A. 27. Kurtic J. 77. Lonardi L. 8. Lunetta G. 70. Moutassime A. 90. Odogwu R. 9. Pecorino E. 34. Tscholl J. (G) 5. Vinetot K.	77. Gjyla B. 27. Hergheligiu D. 91. La Mantia A. 34. Minelli S. (G) 99. Pietrelli A. 19. Pilati A. 25. Sau M. 3. Tonetto M. 29. Verzeletti M. 61. Volpe G. (G) 20. Zennaro M.
Coaches
Valente F.	Zaffaroni M.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 1.

Südtirol is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches FeralpiSalò is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Südtirol will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 26-36.

Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
26.12.23	Lecco - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggiana	2:3 ✺
16.12.23	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:3 ✺
09.12.23	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWLL
- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie B
26.12.23	FeralpiSalò - Venezia	2:2 ✺
23.12.23	Sampdoria - FeralpiSalò	2:3 ✺
16.12.23	FeralpiSalò - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Ternana - FeralpiSalò	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	FeralpiSalò - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.08.23	FeralpiSalò - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2
Coppa Italia
30.07.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - FeralpiSalò	1:3
Italian Serie C Group A
26.03.22	FeralpiSalò - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0
21.11.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - FeralpiSalò	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
14.02.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - FeralpiSalò	0:2
17.10.20	FeralpiSalò - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
13.10.19	FeralpiSalò - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0

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