Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 17

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	FeralpiSalò		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.85	Watch
	4.1	3.6	1.82
	4	3.6	1.85	Watch
	4.57	3.68	1.87
	4.57	3.68	1.85
	5.5	3.75	1.55
	4.2	3.68	1.81	Watch
	4	3.55	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↓ (5.35)	3.63 ↓ (3.77)	1.81 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FeralpiSalò
21.6%

Draw
26.1%

Cremonese
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

25.1%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

24.5%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FeralpiSalò has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cremonese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	9.5%	76.2%

FeralpiSalò - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. FeralpiSalò will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Cremonese will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 66. Bergonzi F. 23. Ceppitelli L. 87. Martella B. 39. Kourfalidis C. 8. Balestrero D. 16. Fiordilino L. 10. Di Molfetta D. 97. Felici M. 14. Compagnon M. 9. Butic K.	22. Jungdal A. (G) 13. Tuia A. 5. Ravanelli L. 44. Lochoshvili L. 17. Sernicola L. 8. Collocolo M. 19. Castagnetti M. 37. Majer Z. 98. Zanimacchia L. 20. Vazquez F. 77. Okereke D.
Substitutes
6. Bacchetti L. 27. Hergheligiu D. 91. La Mantia A. 34. Minelli S. (G) 70. Parigini V. 99. Pietrelli A. 25. Sau M. 3. Tonetto M. 29. Verzeletti M. 61. Volpe G. (G) 20. Zennaro M.	32. Abrego G. 11. Afena-Gyan F. 91. Bertolacci A. 10. Buonaiuto C. 9. Ciofani D. 90. Coda M. 18. Ghiglione P. 6. Pickel C. 33. Quagliata G. 31. Rocchetti Y. 21. Saro G. (G) 14. Valzania L.
Coaches
Zaffaroni M.	Stroppa G.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches FeralpiSalò won 2.

FeralpiSalò is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cremonese in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Cremonese is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches FeralpiSalò won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-15.

Including matches at home between the teams FeralpiSalò won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie B
09.12.23	Ternana - FeralpiSalò	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	FeralpiSalò - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Como - FeralpiSalò	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	FeralpiSalò - Bari	3:3 ✺
04.11.23	Nuova Cosenza - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLTT
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
09.12.23	Cremonese - Venezia	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Pisa - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Cremonese - Lecco	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Brescia - Cremonese	0:3 ✺
05.11.23	Cremonese - Spezia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.07.21	Cremonese - FeralpiSalò	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
14.02.16	FeralpiSalò - Cremonese	4:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.11.15	FeralpiSalò - Cremonese	2:3
Italian Serie C Group A
03.10.15	Cremonese - FeralpiSalò	0:1
08.03.15	Cremonese - FeralpiSalò	3:2
19.10.14	FeralpiSalò - Cremonese	1:0
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
12.01.14	FeralpiSalò - Cremonese	0:2

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