Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 21

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday

Location: Marijampole Football Arena (Marijampole)

Referee: Svegzda D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	BTV, LNK
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sūduva Marijampolė		Transinvest

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.20	2.80
	2.52	3.2	2.48
	2.65	3.54	2.57
	2.53	3.32	2.68	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.5
	2.61	3.39	2.56	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.29)	3.31 ↑ (3.23)	2.58 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sūduva Marijampolė
36.5%

Draw
27.8%

Transinvest
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.7%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

27%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sūduva Marijampolė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Transinvest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Transinvest than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	12%	20%

Sūduva Marijampolė - Transinvest Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Sūduva will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Transinvest will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sūduva: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sūduva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.63) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.81) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Plukas I. (G) 75. Stockunas E. 23. Grigalava R. 5. Baltrunas Z. 4. Uzochukwu H. 14. Steponavicius F. 6. Sabo A. 8. Lawson S. (C) 18. Milasius T. 7. Seck I. 19. Tangiri F.	1. Virvilas J. (G) 5. Sveikauskas R. 93. Girdvainis E. (C) 33. Barauskas D. 13. Tanaka H. 6. Bilbao I. 80. Kloniunas E. 49. Tavares B. 7. Bosnjak D. 23. Xabi Auzmendi 9. Milosevic S.
Substitutes
26. Antanavicius D. 22. Dhouib W. 10. Haydary O. 9. Lucky T. 13. Mikulenas M. 66. Pacesa R. (G) 94. Sanokho S. M. 46. Skamarakas I. 12. Zenkevicius G. (G)	18. Cesnauskis D. 8. Glushach Y. 15. Koffi 25. Mostovei I. (G) 10. Nwoga C. 12. Petkus N. 88. Sluta D. 17. Steponavicius T. 99. Stevenson J. 26. Tamasevicius A.
Coaches
Vencevicius D.	Stankevicius M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Bosnjak D. 🟨,
61', Milosevic S. 🟨,
65', Bosnjak D. ↓, Sluta D. ↑,
65', Tanaka H. ↓, Glushach Y. ↑,
65', Milasius T. ↓, Haydary O. ↑,
65', Steponavicius F. ↓, Lucky T. ↑,
65', Milosevic S. ↓, Nwoga C. ↑,
75', Tangiri F. ↓, Mikulenas M. ↑,
88', Haydary O. 🟨,
90+1', Seck I. ↓, Sanokho S. M. ↑,
90+1', Stockunas E. ↓, Antanavicius D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 1.

Sūduva is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Transinvest's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sūduva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sūduva won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suduva	28	13	11	4	39:25	14	50
3	Transinvest	28	13	6	9	43:35	8	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
29.06.26	Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
16.06.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - FA Šiauliai	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Banga Gargždai	0:0 ✺
29.05.26	Riteriai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTW
- FK Transinvest
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
29.06.26	FA Šiauliai - Transinvest	1:3 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
24.06.26	Dainava Alytus - Transinvest	2:1 penalties ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.06.26	Transinvest - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
16.06.26	Transinvest - Riteriai	0:5 ✺
12.06.26	Panevėžys - Transinvest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
06.05.26	Transinvest - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:1
07.03.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Transinvest	2:0
06.10.24	Sūduva Marijampolė - Transinvest	0:0
20.07.24	Transinvest - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:2
24.05.24	Sūduva Marijampolė - Transinvest	0:1
07.04.24	Transinvest - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:2

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