The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Riteriai 8.6%
Draw 17.8%
Sūduva Marijampolė 73.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.5%
21.2%
66.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.2%
20.6%
68.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Riteriai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sūduva Marijampolė's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riteriai than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sūduva Marijampolė, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Riteriai - Sūduva Marijampolė Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sūduva Marijampolė will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Moschin S. (G) 2. Bondar D. 6. Sveistrys A. 88. Yakah A. 11. Novikovas A. (C) 10. Civilka S. 23. Rimpa D. 16. Usavicius J. 27. Gelombickas D. 22. Estevez Fernandez L. 7. Karacagun O.
31. Plukas I. (G) 75. Stockunas E. 4. Uzochukwu H. 15. Zivanovic A. (C) 5. Baltrunas Z. 8. Lawson S. 94. Sanokho S. M. 6. Sabo A. 7. Seck I. 13. Mikulenas M. 14. Steponavicius F.
Substitutes
21. Alekna T. 35. Garapko P. 47. Gurksnys V. 4. Karamarko M. 17. Lipinskas D. 5. Rutkovskis M. 37. Sankin A. (G) 43. Souare Y. 20. Waruingi J. M.
77. Bickauskas P. 23. Grigalava R. 9. Lucky T. 18. Milasius T. 66. Pacesa R. (G)
Coaches
Gargili A.
Vencevicius D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Mikulenas M. ⚽, Steponavicius F. (A),
30', Sabo A. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Steponavicius F. ⚽, Mikulenas M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Usavicius J. ↓, Alekna T. ↑,
57', Yakah A. ↓, Garapko P. ↑,
57', Novikovas A. ↓, Souare Y. ↑,
60', Sanokho S. M. 🟨,
69', Steponavicius F. ↓, Milasius T. ↑,
69', Mikulenas M. ↓, Lucky T. ↑,
72', Civilka S. ↓, Waruingi J. M. ↑,
77', 0 - 3, Lucky T. ⚽,
80', Sabo A. ↓, Bickauskas P. ↑,
80', Sanokho S. M. ↓, Grigalava R. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ I Lyga and 5).
Riteriai is Relegated to I Lyga
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riteriai won 0.
Riteriai has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sūduva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sūduva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sūduva is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Riteriai won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Riteriai won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
Lithuania
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Moschin S. (G) 
Bondar D. 
Sveistrys A. 
Yakah A. 
Estevez Fernandez L. 
Karacagun O. 
Uzochukwu H. 
Zivanovic A. (C) 
Lawson S. 
Sanokho S. M. 
Sabo A. 
Seck I. 
Grigalava R. 
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