Match Info

Date: 29 May 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	SB Castelo Branco		Caldas

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SB Castelo Branco
26.5%

Draw
28.5%

Caldas
44.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.2%

25.9%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

20.7%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SB Castelo Branco's performance.

Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caldas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SB Castelo Branco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (+21.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caldas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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SB Castelo Branco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Caldas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caldas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches SB Castelo Branco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams SB Castelo Branco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.05.21	Loures - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
16.05.21	Oliveira Hospital - SB Castelo Branco	2:2 ✺
09.05.21	Caldas - SB Castelo Branco	2:1 ✺
24.04.21	SB Castelo Branco - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	SB Castelo Branco - Condeixa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTLTL
- SC Caldas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.05.21	Caldas - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
16.05.21	Loures - Caldas	0:1 ✺
09.05.21	Caldas - SB Castelo Branco	2:1 ✺
02.05.21	Oliveira Hospital - Caldas	2:1 ✺
24.04.21	Caldas - Loures	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWWLT

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.05.21	Caldas - SB Castelo Branco	2:1
13.10.19	SB Castelo Branco - Caldas	2:1

SB Castelo Branco - Caldas