Match Info
PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 4Date: 9 March 2025, SundayLocation: Estádio Municipal de Tábua (Tábua)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Portugal | Canal 11 |
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Oliveira Hospital |
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Caldas |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.55 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
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 |
2.7 |
3.25 |
2.37 |
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 |
2.78 |
3.35 |
2.56 |
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 |
2.91 |
3.27 |
2.41 |
 Watch |
 |
2.93 |
3.31 |
2.34 |
Watch |
 |
2.7 |
3.25 |
2.37 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↑
(2.5) |
3.27 ↑
(3.06) |
2.41 ↓
(2.77) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Oliveira Hospital
33.4% | Draw
28.2% | Caldas
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oliveira Hospital has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caldas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caldas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Oliveira Hospital - Caldas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
22.  Andre Paulo (G)
3. Simao A.
30. Vinhas D.
28. Nascimento D.
23.  Io S.
8. David Bras
16. Geovanny
19.  Michel
11. Neiva G.
9. Gracio D.
55. Silva T.
| 1. Soares W. (G)
56. Nhayson
2.  Yordy Marcelo
6. Militao T.
30. Monteiro E.
77. Lopes D.
20. Rafa Pinto
5.  Pepo
16. Lopez K.
49. Castro T.
99. Balelo
|
| Substitutes |
12. Fajardo R.
71. Fernandes L. (G)
15. Manoel Atanasio
38. Oliveira M.
44. Pablo Veloso
17. Pinheiro L.
18. Souza E.
21. Urco
7. Varela A.
| 17. Barreiras G.
32. Cascao F.
8. Clemente D.
13. Dias R.
7. Farinha L.
10. Januario
25. Luis Paulo (G)
4. Santos D.
11. Velosa M.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Silva T. ⚽, Neiva G. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', 🟨,
- 61', Neiva G. ↓, Oliveira M. ↑,
- 61', Io S. ↓, Souza E. ↑,
- 67', 🟨,
- 67', Yordy Marcelo ↓, Clemente D. ↑,
- 77', Castro T. ↓, Januario ↑,
- 77', Balelo ↓, Farinha L. ↑,
- 79', Lopes D. ↓, Velosa M. ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 80', Silva T. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
- 88', Farinha L. 🟨,
- 88', Rafa Pinto ↓, Barreiras G. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, Gracio D. ⚽, Souza E. (A),
- 90+3', 3 - 0, Souza E. ⚽, Gracio D. (A),
- 90+5', Gracio D. ↓, Pablo Veloso ↑,
- 90+5', David Bras ↓, Fajardo R. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oliveira Hospital won 2. Oliveira Hospital is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Recent matches Caldas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Oliveira Hospital could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Recently Oliveira Hospital have a series of guest games. The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Oliveira Hospital won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:18 (average 1.2:1.4). Including matches at home between the teams Oliveira Hospital won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.8:1.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese Liga 3 | | | 07.12.24 | Oliveira Hospital - Caldas | 1:2 | | 24.08.24 | Caldas - Oliveira Hospital | 2:1 | | 28.04.24 | Caldas - Oliveira Hospital | 1:1 | | 25.02.24 | Oliveira Hospital - Caldas | 3:1 | | 17.12.23 | Oliveira Hospital - Caldas | 2:1 | | 03.09.23 | Caldas - Oliveira Hospital | 1:1 | | 07.01.23 | Oliveira Hospital - Caldas | 2:2 |
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