Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 26

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	União de Santarém		Vitória de Sernache

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	7
	1.39	4.54	7.61
	1.39	4.54	7.61
	1.35	4.5	7.46
	1.36	4.5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.46)	4.52 ↑ (4.25)	7.38 ↑ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
67.2%

Draw
20.4%

Vitória de Sernache
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

21.4%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

20.2%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Nhayson ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Perez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

União de Santarém is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sernache is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match União de Santarém is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's União de Santarém to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 1 head-to-head matches União de Santarém won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.03.24	União de Coimbra - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	União de Santarém - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Rabo de Peixe - União de Santarém	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	União de Santarém - Fontinhas	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	União de Tomar - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW
- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.03.24	Vitória de Sernache - Marinhense	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Peniche - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Gouveia - Vitória de Sernache	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Sertanense - Vitória de Sernache	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.12.23	Vitória de Sernache - União de Santarém	0:2

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