Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 7

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Campo Cha das Padeiras (Santarem) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Portugal	20:00	Canal 11


	União de Santarém		Vitória de Sernache

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.20	3.25
	2.18	2.90	3.15
	2.13	3.29	3.42
	2.11	3.28	3.43	Watch
	2.10	3.25	3.35
	2.18	3.21	3.36
	2.00	3.10	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.14)	3.18 ↓ (3.37)	3.31 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
43.6%

Draw
28.8%

Vitória de Sernache
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27.6%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

União de Santarém - Vitória de Sernache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ribeiro R. (G) 64. Camacho R. 9. Costinha 55. Helder Sa (C) 17. John K. 37. Maya 30. Mordomo R. 27. Soumare A. 2. Sousa B. 5. Tiago Andre 28. Vinhas D.	1. Joao Lucas (G) 21. Almeida M. 10. Dias A. 6. Embalo R. 22. Garcia F. 15. Ibouka K. 17. Marques T. 4. Matheus Matias 19. Moura E. (C) 7. Patricio A. 3. Tavares D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Moura E. ⚽, Dias A. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Mordomo R. ⚽, Sousa B. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Sousa B. ⚽, Tiago Andre (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Ibouka K. ↓, Jota ↑,
61', Patricio A. ↓, Henrique Cavalcante ↑,
68', Sousa B. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
68', Tiago Andre ↓, Martins L. ↑,
75', Soumare A. ↓, Nobrega J. ↑,
75', Moura E. ↓, Graca H. ↑,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 6th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 10th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Sernache has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sernache may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Santarém holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Santarém has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:0 (averaging 2.5:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Santarém against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Taça de Portugal
14.10.26	União de Santarém - Gil Vicente	2:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
09.10.26	União de Santarém - Lusitano GC	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Louletano - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	União de Santarém - Caldas	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Belenenses - União de Santarém	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLL
- Vitória de Sernache
Taça de Portugal
18.10.26	Brito - Vitória de Sernache	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
10.10.26	Vitória de Sernache - Louletano	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Vitória de Sernache - Varzim	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.26	Caldas - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Vitória de Sernache - Belenenses	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
07.04.24	União de Santarém - Vitória de Sernache	3:0
17.12.23	Vitória de Sernache - União de Santarém	0:2

União de Santarém - Vitória de Sernache