Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 11

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio João Paulo II (Angra do Heroísmo)


	SC Lusitânia		Marinhense

	1	X	2
	2.58	3	2.52
	2.63	2.9	2.63
	2.61	3.05	2.61	Watch
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.57	3	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.2)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	2.59 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
34.8%

Draw
30.2%

Marinhense
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.6%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SC Lusitânia's form might have worsened.

Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SC Lusitânia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marinhense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SC Lusitânia - Marinhense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

SC Lusitânia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

SC Lusitânia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, SC Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, SC Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.11.25	SC Lusitânia - Lajense	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	SC Lusitânia - Fatima	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	União da Serra - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	SC Lusitânia - SB Castelo Branco	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Eléctrico - SC Lusitânia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.11.25	Marinhense - União da Serra	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Marinhense	3:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.11.25	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Marinhense - Eléctrico	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vitória de Sernache - Marinhense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.03.24	SC Lusitânia - Marinhense	2:0
12.11.23	Marinhense - SC Lusitânia	2:0

SC Lusitânia - Marinhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide