Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio João Paulo II (Angra do Heroísmo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	SC Lusitânia		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	3.2	2.9	2.25
	3.06	3.14	2.38
				Watch
	3.37	2.9	2.34	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.34)	2.99 ↓ (3.19)	2.29 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
29.3%

Draw
30.7%

União de Santarém
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

29.4%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.8%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

SC Lusitânia - União de Santarém Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. SC Lusitânia will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Santarém will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monteiro J. (G) 15. Breno T. 2. Derick (C) 24. Edu 17. Isabelinha 23. Jefinho 11. Joca 5. Kaylan 70. Mosquera D. 6. Serginho 77. Sidney C.	1. Pinto Galil L. G. (G) 76. Alcobia R. 13. Apolinario R. 21. Araujo P. 31. Balau D. 44. Doukoure H. 5. Ferreira K. 81. Goncalves E. F. 16. Grilo M. (C) 9. Gustavo Franca 11. Joao Ricardo
Substitutes
42. Biai B. 41. Dario Miranda 52. Djebate I. 50. Drame Y. 32. Gunjo J. 53. Isma 30. Kipanda D. 72. Sa D. (G) 7. Watche T.	19. Araujo R. 22. Hidalgo N. (G) 10. Madeira T. 15. Manacas L. 14. Simoes J. 20. Ventura B. 8. Vieira A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Gustavo Franca ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, Sidney C. ⚽,
20', Kaylan 🟨,
25', Balau D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Joao Ricardo 🟨,
61', Mosquera D. 🟨,
66', Jefinho ↓, Dario Miranda ↑,
68', Apolinario R. ↓, Vieira A. ↑,
71', Isabelinha 🟨,
71', Serginho ↓, Biai B. ↑,
74', Isabelinha ↓, Gunjo J. ↑,
77', Balau D. ↓, Madeira T. ↑,
77', Doukoure H. ↓, Ventura B. ↑,
84', Joca ↓, Kipanda D. ↑,
85', Joao Ricardo ↓, Araujo R. ↑,
85', Kaylan ↓, Watche T. ↑,
85', Kipanda D. 🟨,
88', Edu 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jordan won 4.

In this match Jordan is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Jordan won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 515:446 (average 73.6:63.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3
15.03.25	SC Lusitânia - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	SC Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Caldas - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	SC Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLTT
- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
16.03.25	União de Santarém - Caldas	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Covilhã - União de Santarém	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	União de Santarém - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Covilhã - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
19.01.25	União de Santarém - SC Lusitânia	1:0
06.10.24	SC Lusitânia - União de Santarém	1:2
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
25.05.24	União de Santarém - SC Lusitânia	1:1
27.04.24	SC Lusitânia - União de Santarém	3:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.03.24	União de Santarém - SC Lusitânia	2:1
03.12.23	SC Lusitânia - União de Santarém	3:1

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