Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio João Paulo II (Angra do Heroísmo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	SC Lusitânia		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	3.15	3.15	2.16
	3.57	3.22	2.19
	3.43	3.22	2.16	Watch
	3.16	3.37	2.19	Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.87)	3.2 ↓ (3.23)	2.14 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
27.8%

Draw
28.9%

Académica Coimbra
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

28.5%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

25.2%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

SC Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monteiro J. (G) 70. Mosquera D. 2. Derick 5. Kaylan 15. Breno T. 23. Jefinho 6. Serginho 24. Edu 32. Gunjo J. 11. Joca 77. Sidney C.	1. Antonio Filipe (G) 22. Xico 13. Serra A. 54. Ni 80. Elvis 4. Obiora N. 5. Silva L. 23. Saint-Louis J. 8. Carvalho D. 77. Ba-Sy A. 9. Morais G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Elvis 🟨,
35', Sidney C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Carvalho D. ⚽,
63', Elvis ↓, Freitas R. ↑,
69', Morais G. ↓, Hachadi K. ↑,
70', Carvalho D. ↓, Costa M. ↑,
72', 🟨,
88', Silva L. ↓, Gomes V. ↑,

Preview

SC Lusitânia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Académica is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Académica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Académica will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:8 (average 2:4).

Including matches at home between the teams SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3
02.03.25	Caldas - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	SC Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B	2:2 ✺
22.01.25	SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	União de Santarém - SC Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTTTL
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
01.03.25	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Académica Coimbra - Caldas	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Belenenses - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Académica Coimbra - 1 Dezembro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
04.11.24	Académica Coimbra - SC Lusitânia	5:1
05.08.24	SC Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	3:3

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