Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 18

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio João Paulo II (Angra do Heroísmo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	SC Lusitânia		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.3	1.8
	3.8	3.35	1.86
	4.22	3.56	1.86
	4	3.52	1.88
	4.07	3.46	1.77
	3.8	3.35	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.8)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
23.2%

Draw
26.8%

Sporting Lisbon B
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.4%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

25.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Sporting Lisbon B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

SC Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. SC Lusitânia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Sa D. (G) 70. Mosquera D. 14. Amaral A. 2. Derick 52. Dario Miranda 27. Legatheaux A. 42. Biai B. (C) 23. Jefinho 10. Rafa Tche 32. Gunjo J. 17. Isabelinha	99. Silva F. (C) 54. Bruno Ramos 45. Moreira D. 53. Dias R. 73. Felicissimo E. 81. Arreiol H. 67. Anjos L. 88. Mendonca M. 77. Besugo R. 80. Gomes L. 86. Nel R.
Substitutes
8. Azevedo T. 18. Carvalho S. B. 24. Edu 53. Edu 88. Mbanga J. 1. Monteiro J. (G) 77. Sidney C. 55. Teixeira L.	58. Goncalves F. 46. Junior M. 59. Kaua Oliveira 79. Marques R. 90. Moreira A. 74. Pires G. (G) 71. Santos D. 82. Silva G. 95. Taibo Dominguez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Gunjo J. 🟨,
30', Arreiol H. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Gunjo J. ⚽,
37', Bruno Ramos ↓, Junior M. ↑,
45', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Gomes L. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Gunjo J. ↓, Sidney C. ↑,
70', Biai B. ↓, Azevedo T. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Derick ⚽,
83', Arreiol H. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
83', Besugo R. ↓, Kaua Oliveira ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Nel R. ⚽,
83', Mendonca M. ↓, Goncalves F. ↑,
83', Dias R. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90', Mendonca M. ↓, Taibo Dominguez L. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

SC Lusitânia is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )

Recent matches SC Lusitânia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sporting B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SC Lusitânia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sporting B is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3
22.01.25	SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	União de Santarém - SC Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
15.01.25	Covilhã - SC Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	SC Lusitânia - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	SC Lusitânia - Belenenses	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLTLW
- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
18.01.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Belenenses	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	1 Dezembro - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
07.01.25	Chelsea U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
05.01.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Caldas	4:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
22.12.24	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
28.10.24	Sporting Lisbon B - SC Lusitânia	0:0

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