Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	SC São Paulo		Santa Cruz-RS

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.25	2
	3.05	3.1	1.98
	3.45	3	2.06
	3.47	2.93	2.07
	3.44	3.3	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.25)	3.12 ↓ (3.25)	2.03 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC São Paulo
26.9%

Draw
28.8%

Santa Cruz-RS
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Santa Cruz-RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC São Paulo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz-RS than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

SC São Paulo - Santa Cruz RS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)).

SC São Paulo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Cruz-RS is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

SC São Paulo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Santa Cruz-RS will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC São Paulo
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
27.04.22	Inter Santa Maria - SC São Paulo	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	SC São Paulo - São Gabriel	2:1 ✺
20.04.22	EC Guarani - SC São Paulo	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	SC São Paulo - Avenida	3:3 ✺
10.04.22	EC Pelotas - SC São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLTL
- Santa Cruz-RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
27.04.22	Santa Cruz-RS - Lajeadense	4:1 ✺
24.04.22	EC Pelotas - Santa Cruz-RS	0:0 ✺
21.04.22	Inter Santa Maria - Santa Cruz-RS	0:2
17.04.22	Santa Cruz-RS - São Gabriel	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	EC Guarani - Santa Cruz-RS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WTWWW

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