Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	SC São Paulo		Frederiquense

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.5
	2.8	2.95	2.2
	2.85	3	2.23
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	2.85	3	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.97)	3.01 ↓ (3.16)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC São Paulo
31.9%

Draw
29.7%

Frederiquense
38.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29.1%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

22.2%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Frederiquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC São Paulo than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SC São Paulo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frederiquense than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frederiquense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SC São Paulo - Frederiquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches SC São Paulo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frederiquense in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

SC São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SC São Paulo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC São Paulo
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
17.10.21	Avenida - SC São Paulo	0:0 ✺
11.10.21	SC São Paulo - GE Bagé	2:0 ✺
04.10.21	EC Guarani - SC São Paulo	1:0 ✺
27.09.21	SC São Paulo - São Gabriel	3:0 ✺
09.09.21	Lajeadense - SC São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLWT
- União Frederiquense de Futebol
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
17.10.21	Frederiquense - Veranopolis	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	EC Cruzeiro - Frederiquense	0:1 ✺
02.10.21	Frederiquense - Passo Fundo	2:1 ✺
25.09.21	Frederiquense - Tupi RS	2:0 ✺
19.09.21	Brasil de Farroupilha - Frederiquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
01.03.15	Frederiquense - SC São Paulo	1:1

SC São Paulo - Frederiquense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

SC São Paulo - Frederiquense Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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