Match Info

First League - Round 23

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	SD Family		Ertis Pavlodar

	1	X	2
	9.2	5.7	1.21
	8.84	5.10	1.29	Watch
	9.55	5.5	1.23	Watch
	9.1	6	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.17 ↓ (9.4)	5.58 ↓ (5.7)	1.24 ↑ (1.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Family
9.9%

Draw
16.3%

Ertis Pavlodar
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.6%

15.8%

74.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Family has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ertis Pavlodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

SD Family - Ertis Pavlodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Kuryan S. (G) 45. Altayev A. 6. Amanbay A. 9. Baymolda A. 66. Dadakhanov A. 8. Erkinbay Z. (C) 5. Esenalinov A. 59. Iskakov D. 17. Maulen S. 2. Serik E. 7. Tazhikenov S.	35. Kalmykov N. (C) 10. Agimanov T. 8. Buribaev N. 23. Dobay A. 55. Elemes N. 11. Fedin M. 9. Gerasimov M. 88. Kenesov A. 17. Nurymbet A. 19. Popov A. 47. Vasiljev V.
Substitutes
31. Asymzhan D. (G) 19. Berezutskiy A. 33. Duysenbek D.	41. Efremenko D. (G) 25. Esimov R. 77. Kakenov D. 80. Kikbaev M. 1. Rikhard M. (G) 15. Satyshev A. 97. Smailov A. 3. Toleuov B. 5. Torebek T. 21. Tungyshbaev E. 14. Yensebayev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', Kenesov A. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Agimanov T. ⚽, Fedin M. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Elemes N. (Own goal),
38', 2 - 1, Altayev A. ⚽,
42', Amanbay A. 🟥,
45+1', Lim R. ↓, Kuken A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 6)
46', Popov A. ↓, Toleuov B. ↑,
46', Dobay A. ↓, Kakenov D. ↑,
46', Gerasimov M. ↓, Tungyshbaev E. ↑,
49', Aitpakayev A. ↓, Zhanat I. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Tungyshbaev E. ⚽, Vasiljev V. (A),
52', 2 - 3, Tungyshbaev E. ⚽, Nurymbet A. (A),
53', 2 - 4, Tungyshbaev E. ⚽, Kakenov D. (A),
54', Altayev A. ↓, Duysenbek D. ↑,
59', 2 - 5, Nurymbet A. ⚽,
61', 2 - 6, Tungyshbaev E. ⚽, Fedin M. (A),
62', Agimanov T. ↓, Kikbaev M. ↑,
72', Kenesov A. ↓, Yensebayev M. ↑,
88', 2 - 7, Tungyshbaev E. ⚽, Yensebayev M. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

SD Family is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In this match, Ertis is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, SD Family won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Family
Kazakh First League
12.09.25	Altai Semey - SD Family	4:0 ✺
22.08.25	Kaspiy Aktau - SD Family	10:0 ✺
14.08.25	SD Family - Taraz	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Akademiya Ontustik - SD Family	5:2 ✺
01.08.25	SD Family - Zhetisay	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakh First League
12.09.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Ertis Pavlodar	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	AKAS - Ertis Pavlodar	2:5 ✺
01.08.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Shakhter Karagandy	3:1 ✺
24.07.25	Kairat 2 - Ertis Pavlodar	0:3 ✺
18.07.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Cup
19.03.25	Ertis Pavlodar - SD Family	2:1

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