Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: First Division - Round 20

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday

Location: Sydykbek Arena (Aleksandrovka)


	SD Family		Kaspiy Aktau

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.75	1.78	Watch
	3.82	3.97	1.74	Watch
	3.9	3.86	1.72
	3.75	3.75	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (2.43)	3.83 ↑ (3.28)	1.76 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Family
24%

Draw
23.9%

Kaspiy Aktau
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27.5%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

26%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Family has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SD Family's form might have worsened.

Kaspiy Aktau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaspiy Aktau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Family than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SD Family, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaspiy Aktau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Onoprienko K. (G) 55. Bakirov S. 8. Dadaev I. 22. Dadakhanov A. 48. Demin I. 3. Kayrly A. 4. Maulen S. 88. Saylybaev O. 77. Serikov N. 17. Shymyrkhan S. 14. Useinov D.	1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 77. Aimanov A. 7. Kabylan B. 4. Kadyrbaev E. 10. Konlimkos B. 23. Nabikhanov A. 28. Strizhkov N. 5. Taipov K. 13. Taykenov M. 70. Tazhikenov S. 11. Zulfikarov B.
Substitutes
6. Adakhadziev A. 44. Almukhamedov I. 10. Andyrmash D. 2. Erkinbay Z. 19. Madelkhan B. 5. Mazhit S. 18. Musaev E. 1. Samoylov S. (G) 96. Saurbay A. (G) 95. Tsoy D.	8. Dmitrenko V. 66. Doronin A. 71. Karimov R. 78. Khalmatov M. 21. Marat D. 35. Mokin A. (G) 27. Mukhit A. 47. Nusip A. 17. Shamshi S. 14. Zaynetdinov D. 48. Zhumabay E. 30. Zhumakhanov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Tazhikenov S. 🟨,
13', Aimanov A. 🟨,
15', Zulfikarov B. 🟨,
22', Dadaev I. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Taipov K. ⚽,
37', Tsoy D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zulfikarov B. ↓, Marat D. ↑,
46', Shymyrkhan S. ↓, Erkinbay Z. ↑,
46', Kayrly A. ↓, Tsoy D. ↑,
46', Useinov D. ↓, Akhaev B. ↑,
56', Taipov K. ↓, Zaynetdinov D. ↑,
62', Serikov N. ↓, Musaev E. ↑,
67', Strizhkov N. 🟨,
70', Aimanov A. ↓, Khalmatov M. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Bakirov S. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Kadyrbaev E. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Family
Kazakh First League
09.08.24	Kaisar 2 - SD Family	1:2 ✺
01.08.24	Altai Semey - SD Family	2:2 ✺
26.07.24	SD Family - Kairat 2	3:6 ✺
17.07.24	Akzhayik - SD Family	2:1 ✺
11.07.24	SD Family - Arys	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLLW
- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh First League
08.08.24	Turkistan - Kaspiy Aktau	2:2 ✺
26.07.24	Ulytau - Kaspiy Aktau	0:0 ✺
17.07.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
12.07.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Batyr Ekibastuz	1:2 ✺
03.07.24	Aktobe 2 - Kaspiy Aktau	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
22.05.24	Kaspiy Aktau - SD Family	2:0

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