Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Zhestar Stadium (Aktau)

Referee: Tasybaev A. (Rus)


	Kaspiy Aktau		Okzhetpes

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.9
	2.35	3.15	2.88
	2.57	3.2	2.61
	2.1	3.22	3.33	Watch
	2.5	3	2.63
	2.61	3.23	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.64)	3.18 ↓ (3.24)	2.84 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau
38.6%

Draw
29%

Okzhetpes
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28.4%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Kaspiy Aktau - Okzhetpes Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kaspiy will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Okzhetpes will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Okzhetpes: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Okzhetpes will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Zhomart D. (G) 14. Amaral A. 23. Nabikhanov A. (C) 30. Morgado B. 21. Aripov D. 5. Strumia L. 27. Esimbekov D. 19. Taykenov M. 11. Ndombasi N. 28. Petrovic B. 10. Umaev I.	22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 3. Lototskyi B. 47. Vasiljev V. 77. Sovpel V. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 9. Borodin D. 17. Nurymbet A. 8. Buribaev N. 19. Omirtaev O. 11. Zhangylyshbay T. (C)
Substitutes
1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 67. Berdibek D. 75. Degirmenci B. 55. Elemes N. 7. Kabylan B. 60. Kaldybay B. (G) 69. Kuanysh M. 13. Serikbay M. 9. Zulfikarov B.	20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 5. Leo Assunpcao 55. Mikhailov N. 14. Mukanov S. 12. Shaimurat E. (G) 44. Trubitsyn D. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z.
Coaches
Aliev P.	Alyuetov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Borodin D. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Sovpel V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Umaev I. ↓, Serikbay M. ↑,
61', Zhangylyshbay T. ↓, Leo Assunpcao ↑,
63', Aripov D. ↓, Kabylan B. ↑,
69', Petrovic B. ↓, Zulfikarov B. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Ndombasi N. ⚽,
73', Buribaev N. ↓, Vomenko V. ↑,
73', Mukhametkhanov Z. ↓, Mukanov S. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Omirtaev O. ⚽,
82', 1 - 3, Omirtaev O. ⚽,
84', Omirtaev O. ↓, Ensebaev M. ↑,
90+5', Kabylan B. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy Aktau won 2.

Kaspiy Aktau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy Aktau won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaspiy Aktau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45
10	Kaspij Aktau	26	8	5	13	27:36	-9	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh Premier League
08.03.26	Kyzylzhar - Kaspiy Aktau	2:1 ✺
Kazakh First League
24.10.25	AKAS - Kaspiy Aktau	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Shakhter Karagandy	3:2 ✺
03.10.25	Kairat 2 - Kaspiy Aktau	2:3 ✺
26.09.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW
- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
07.03.26	Okzhetpes - Yelimay Semey	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Okzhetpes - Turan Turkistan	4:3 ✺
19.10.25	Ordabasy - Okzhetpes	7:1 ✺
28.09.25	Okzhetpes - Astana	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
17.07.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Okzhetpes	0:1
14.06.24	Okzhetpes - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0
Kazakh Premier League
26.08.23	Okzhetpes - Kaspiy Aktau	3:3
15.04.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Okzhetpes	2:1
21.11.20	Kaspiy Aktau - Okzhetpes	2:1
18.09.20	Okzhetpes - Kaspiy Aktau	2:2

Upcoming Matches