Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	SD Logroñés		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.9	2
	3.5	2.9	2.05
	3.75	3	2.1
	4.41	3.05	2.06
	4.41	3.01	2.01
	4.25	3.04	1.94
	3.75	2.95	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (2.5)	2.98 ↑ (2.8)	2.03 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
23.3%

Draw
31.1%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

30.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SD Logroñés's form might have worsened.

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnástic de Tarragona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SD Logroñés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnástic de Tarragona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

SD Logroñés - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gimnàstic will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iruarrizaga A. (G) 14. Cova A. 4. Murua J. 2. Trespalacios A. 3. Paredes J. (C) 19. Garcia T. 15. Buyla J. 21. Arratia S. 20. Sabater D. 27. Jaraiz A. 17. Escobar J.	13. Varo A. (G) 20. Tirlea A. 2. Trigueros P. 3. Nacho Gonzalez 21. Oriol J. 22. Jardi J. 14. Sanz O. 10. Escudero A. 18. Martinez B. 23. Concha D. 17. Fernandez P.
Substitutes
5. Aurtenetxe J. 11. Carmona P. 8. Castellano J. 16. Ezkurdia I. 7. Fernandez O. 9. Luzzi Rangel F. R. 18. Manny 13. Marti O. (G)	. Bellari H. 5. Dufur U. 11. Fernandez M. 6. Gorostidi A. 8. Montalvo M. 12. Ortega I. 1. Parra Bove D. (G) 16. Pochettino M. 19. Rodriguez M.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gimnàstic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches SD Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams SD Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.12.23	Teruel - SD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	SD Logroñés - Celta de Vigo B	2:3 ✺
26.11.23	Real Unión de Irun - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	SD Logroñés - Real Sociedad B	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Deportivo A Coruña - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWLL
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.12.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
18.11.23	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sestao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.01.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - SD Logroñés	0:0
29.10.22	SD Logroñés - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2

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