Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Las Gaunas (Logroño)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	SD Logroñés		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.81	Watch
	3.7	3.55	1.85
	4.71	3.53	1.73	Watch
	4.03	3.52	1.87	Watch
	4.1	3.5	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.99)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
22.5%

Draw
26.4%

Racing Santander
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

26.3%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

25.5%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

SD Logroñés - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - SD Logroñés (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. SD Logroñés (votes: 1 - 25%). Racing (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fernandez I. (G) 21. Aguinaga P. 4. Fernandez A. 14. Guerra J. 3. Hualde J. 5. Lecea S. 22. Olarra A. 8. Sanchez D. 16. Santafe D. 9. Traore M. 18. Zubiri I.	13. Andreev P. (G) 8. Aldasoro A. 7. Cabanzon Y. 33. Calera S. 20. Camara S. 5. Castro J. 4. Manu 17. Michelin C. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 36. Sergio M. 12. Villalibre A.
Substitutes
17. Celik A. L. 12. Clavero S. 7. Fernandez D. 10. Gil S. 23. Hernando I. 11. Kandoussi B. 19. Khitthi 6. Nunez D. 15. Reygadas M. 1. Royo K. (G) 20. San Martin D.	9. Arana J. 1. Ezkieta J. (G) 44. Fuentes D. 3. Garcia M. 16. Gonzalez F. 14. Gueye M. 42. Incera I. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 21. Ramon P. 15. Sangalli M. 45. Vallecillo A.
Coaches
Pouso C.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Camara S. ⚽, Sergio M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
66', 0 - 2, Cabanzon Y. ⚽, Arana J. (A),
79', Nunez D. 🟥,
87', 0 - 3, Cabanzon Y. ⚽, Fuentes D. (A),
89', 0 - 4, Incera I. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Racing is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, SD Logroñés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, SD Logroñés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.10.25	Zaragoza B - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	SD Logroñés - Alfaro	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Utebo - SD Logroñés	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	SD Logroñés - Gernika	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	SD Logroñés - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLTT
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Mirandés - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Racing Santander - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Sporting de Gijón - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Racing Santander - Málaga	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Racing Santander - FC Andorra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.03.22	Racing Santander - SD Logroñés	1:0
22.01.22	SD Logroñés - Racing Santander	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.02.14	SD Logroñés - Racing Santander	0:2
06.10.13	Racing Santander - SD Logroñés	1:1

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