Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 25

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	SKA Khabarovsk 2		Oryol

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.29	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.36)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)	2.83 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Khabarovsk 2
39.1%

Draw
28.2%

Oryol
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

27.3%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Khabarovsk 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Oryol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk 2 than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Oryol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Agakhanov A. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Kuralenya N. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Burdakov S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11th and 13th).

Recent results have been tough for SKA Khabarovsk 2 (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Oryol has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

SKA Khabarovsk 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, SKA Khabarovsk 2 has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:10 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SKA Khabarovsk 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Oryol	29	9	6	14	31:46	-15	33
12	SKA Khabarovsk 2	29	9	3	17	40:53	-13	30

Last Results with these Odds

Oryol - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.35%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Khabarovsk 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
19.09.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - SKA Khabarovsk 2	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Zenit Penza - SKA Khabarovsk 2	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Arsenal 2 Tula	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Strogino Moskva - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLTW
- FC Oryol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
17.09.26	Oryol - Shumbrat Saransk	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Spartak Tambov - Oryol	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Avangard Kursk - Oryol	3:2 ✺
30.08.26	Volna Kovernino - Oryol	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Oryol - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
06.06.26	Oryol - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:1
09.08.25	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Oryol	1:2
19.04.25	Oryol - SKA Khabarovsk 2	4:1
13.10.24	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Oryol	2:0
25.06.24	Oryol - SKA Khabarovsk 2	3:5

SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Oryol