Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 22

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Zenit Penza		SKA Khabarovsk 2

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.74	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 (2.2)	3.74 ↓ (3.9)	2.64 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit Penza
41.3%

Draw
24.3%

SKA Khabarovsk 2
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

23.5%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

22.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

SKA Khabarovsk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk 2 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Zenit Penza - SKA Khabarovsk 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Ulezko M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, Egorov E. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, Kolesin N. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit Penza won 2.

Recent performances by Zenit Penza have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SKA Khabarovsk 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zenit Penza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 1.1:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zenit Penza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	SKA Khabarovsk 2	27	8	3	16	37:50	-13	27
13	Penza	26	7	4	15	25:48	-23	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit Penza
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
29.08.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Zenit Penza	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Zenit Penza - Spartak Tambov	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Zenit Penza	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Zenit Penza - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
29.07.26	SKA Rostov - Zenit Penza	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.4 WWLLL
- SKA Khabarovsk 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
29.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Arsenal 2 Tula	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Strogino Moskva - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Shumbrat Saransk	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Spartak Tambov - SKA Khabarovsk 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
15.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Zenit Penza	5:0
03.10.25	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Zenit Penza	5:1
15.06.25	Zenit Penza - SKA Khabarovsk 2	2:1
25.08.24	Zenit Penza - SKA Khabarovsk 2	2:1
29.10.23	Zenit Penza - SKA Khabarovsk 2	2:3
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
02.11.22	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Zenit Penza	0:0
28.07.22	Zenit Penza - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:3

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