Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 22

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Avangard Kursk		Oryol

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.33	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.14)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)	3.23 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Avangard Kursk
43.6%

Draw
27.8%

Oryol
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

25.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Kursk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Oryol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (+3%)

Avangard Kursk - Oryol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Zakharov D. ⚽,
35', Khmelevskoy S. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 2 - 0, Knyazev D. ⚽,
58', 2 - 1, Agakhanov A. ⚽,
63', 3 - 1, Zakharov D. ⚽,
67', 3 - 2, Fateev M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avangard Kursk won 2.

In recent matches, Avangard Kursk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Oryol is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Avangard Kursk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Avangard Kursk has had a series of home games.

Avangard Kursk will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Avangard Kursk won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Avangard Kursk won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Kursk	26	8	8	10	31:38	-7	32
10	Oryol	26	8	5	13	29:44	-15	29

Last Results with these Odds

Avangard Kursk - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.92%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
29.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Rodina Moscow 3	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
25.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
22.08.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Avangard Kursk	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Zenit Penza	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWW
- FC Oryol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
30.08.26	Volna Kovernino - Oryol	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Oryol - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Rotor 2 - Oryol	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Oryol - Kvant Obninsk	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Salyut Belgorod - Oryol	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
16.05.26	Oryol - Avangard Kursk	1:0
Russian Cup
21.08.24	Avangard Kursk - Oryol	0:2
Russian PFL Center
25.08.16	Avangard Kursk - Oryol	0:0
25.10.15	Oryol - Avangard Kursk	0:1
03.08.15	Avangard Kursk - Oryol	1:0
Russian Cup
16.07.15	Avangard Kursk - Oryol	2:0
Russian PFL Center
30.05.15	Oryol - Avangard Kursk	4:1

Upcoming Matches