Match Info

Date: 22 February 2020, Saturday


	SPAL		Juventus

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.44	Watch
	7	4.6	1.45
	7	4.6	1.44	Watch
	6.9	4.5	1.42
	7.06	4.66	1.47
	7	4.4	1.44	Watch
	7.4	4.64	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.98 ↓ (8.05)	4.56 ↓ (4.97)	1.45 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
13.6%

Draw
20.9%

Juventus
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

19.2%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.5%

17.1%

77.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	6.3%	85%

SPAL - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: Juventus will win (108 of 127 users predict this - 85.04%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.84% – 91.24%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie A
15.02.20	Lecce - SPAL	2:1 ✺
09.02.20	SPAL - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
02.02.20	Lazio - SPAL	5:1 ✺
25.01.20	SPAL - Bologna	1:3 ✺
20.01.20	Atalanta - SPAL	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 LLLLW
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
16.02.20	Juventus - Brescia	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
13.02.20	Milan - Juventus	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.02.20	Verona - Juventus	2:1 ✺
02.02.20	Juventus - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
26.01.20	Napoli - Juventus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.09.19	Juventus - SPAL	2:0
13.04.19	SPAL - Juventus	2:1
24.11.18	Juventus - SPAL	2:0
17.03.18	SPAL - Juventus	0:0
25.10.17	Juventus - SPAL	4:1

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