Match Info

Serie A - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Allianz Stadium (Turin)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Starzplay Sports app


	Juventus		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.75	7.5	Watch
	1.35	4.95	9.3	Watch
	1.36	5.6	9.06
	1.37	5.52	8.49	Watch
	1.33	5	7.5
	1.39	5.64	8.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)	5.41 ↓ (5.45)	8.36 ↑ (7.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus
70.7%

Draw
17.8%

Fiorentina
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

17.4%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

16.7%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	5%	0%

Juventus - Fiorentina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Fiorentina (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juventus will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 3. Bremer 6. Kelly L. 22. McKennie W. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 8. Koopmeiners T. 27. Cambiaso A. 7. Conceicao F. 10. Yildiz K. 9. Vlahovic D.	43. de Gea D. (C) 2. Dodo 5. Pongracic M. 6. Ranieri L. 21. Gosens R. 4. Brescianini M. 44. Fagioli N. 27. Ndour C. 65. Parisi F. 91. Piccoli R. 19. Solomon M.
Substitutes
17. Adzic V. 13. Boga J. 32. Cabal J. 30. David J. 4. Gatti F. 2. Holm E. 18. Kostic F. 14. Milik A. 21. Miretti F. 20. Openda L. 1. Perin M. (G) 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 19. Thuram K. 11. Zhegrova E.	62. Balbo L. 61. Braschi R. 53. Christensen O. (G) 15. Comuzzo P. 80. Fabbian G. 22. Fazzini J. 29. Fortini N. 10. Gudmundsson A. 17. Harrison J. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 8. Mandragora R. 3. Rugani D.
Coaches
Spalletti L.	Vanoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Pongracic M. 🟨,
32', Parisi F. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
34', 0 - 1, Ndour C. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
45', Bremer 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Koopmeiners T. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
64', Brescianini M. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
64', Ranieri L. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
64', Fagioli N. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
69', Conceicao F. ↓, Zhegrova E. ↑,
69', Cambiaso A. ↓, Thuram K. ↑,
72', Ranieri L. 🟥,
74', Gosens R. ↓, Balbo L. ↑,
81', Kelly L. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Mandragora R. ⚽,
85', Harrison J. 🟨,
90', Yildiz K. ↓, Miretti F. ↑,
90+1', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 2.

Juventus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fiorentina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Juventus is the clear favorite.

There are questionable in Juventus: Cabal J. (Muscle Injury) Milik A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Kean M. (Calf Injury)

We predict that Juventus will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventus won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Juventus: 7.6% Fiorentina: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6:12	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus
Italian Serie A
09.05.26	Lecce - Juventus	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Juventus - Verona	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Milan - Juventus	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Juventus - Bologna	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Atalanta - Juventus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTWW
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
10.05.26	Fiorentina - Genoa	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Roma - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Fiorentina - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Lecce - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.04.26	Fiorentina - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
22.11.25	Fiorentina - Juventus	1:1
16.03.25	Fiorentina - Juventus	3:0
29.12.24	Juventus - Fiorentina	2:2
07.04.24	Juventus - Fiorentina	1:0
05.11.23	Fiorentina - Juventus	0:1
12.02.23	Juventus - Fiorentina	1:0
03.09.22	Fiorentina - Juventus	1:1

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