What is the expert prediction for Napoli vs Juventus?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Napoli vs Juventus. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Napoli vs Juventus Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, December 07, 2025)

Match Info

Serie A - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football


	Napoli		Juventus

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.88	3.2	Watch
	2.58	2.98	3.05	Watch
	2.61	2.95	3.3
	2.59	2.98	3.24	Watch
	2.5	2.88	3.1
	2.63	3.02	3.29
	2.54	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.45)	2.94 ↓ (3.19)	3.2 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
37.4%

Draw
32.6%

Juventus
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

29.8%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.7%	25.9%	20.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 26 - 53.1%). Juventus will win (votes: 9 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 39.1% – 67.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Juventus (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Napoli (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Napoli (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Napoli (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 6 - 60%). Juventus (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 31. Beukema S. 13. Rrahmani A. 4. Buongiorno A. 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 20. Elmas E. 8. McTominay S. 17. Olivera M. 7. David Neres 19. Hojlund R. 70. Lang N.	16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 6. Kelly L. 8. Koopmeiners T. 27. Cambiaso A. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 19. Thuram K. 32. Cabal J. 22. McKennie W. 7. Conceicao F. 10. Yildiz K.
Substitutes
69. Ambrosino G. 14. Contini N. (G) 25. Ferrante M. (G) 5. Juan Jesus 27. Lucca L. 35. Marianucci L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 21. Politano M. 37. Spinazzola L. 26. Vergara A.	17. Adzic V. 30. David J. 25. Joao Mario 18. Kostic F. 21. Miretti F. 20. Openda L. 44. Pedro Felipe 1. Perin M. (G) 40. Rouhi J. 42. Scaglia S. (G) 11. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Conte A.	Spalletti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Hojlund R. ⚽, David Neres (A),
33', Buongiorno A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cabal J. ↓, David J. ↑,
52', Kalulu P. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Yildiz K. ⚽, McKennie W. (A),
70', Olivera M. ↓, Spinazzola L. ↑,
70', Beukema S. 🟨,
71', Cambiaso A. ↓, Kostic F. ↑,
75', Conceicao F. ↓, Miretti F. ↑,
76', Yildiz K. ↓, Openda L. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Hojlund R. ⚽,
79', David Neres ↓, Politano M. ↑,
82', Thuram K. ↓, Zhegrova E. ↑,
86', Lang N. ↓, Vergara A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Gutierrez M. (Ankle Injury) Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Meret A. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Bremer (Knee Injury) Gatti F. (Knee Injury) Milik A. (Calf Injury) Pinsoglio C. (Calf Injury) Vlahovic D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Juventus: Perin M. (Injury) Rugani D. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.8:1).

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Last Results with these Odds

Juventus - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 31.38%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Napoli - Cagliari	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
30.11.25	Roma - Napoli	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Napoli - Qarabağ Agdam	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.11.25	Napoli - Atalanta	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Bologna - Napoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWL
- Juventus
Coppa Italia
02.12.25	Juventus - Udinese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Juventus - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Bodø Glimt - Juventus	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.11.25	Fiorentina - Juventus	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Juventus - Torino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
25.01.25	Napoli - Juventus	2:1
21.09.24	Juventus - Napoli	0:0
03.03.24	Napoli - Juventus	2:1
08.12.23	Juventus - Napoli	1:0
23.04.23	Juventus - Napoli	0:1
13.01.23	Napoli - Juventus	5:1
06.01.22	Juventus - Napoli	1:1

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