The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lecce 64.3%
Draw 22.5%
SPAL 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.4%
26.7%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
27.6%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lecce's performance.
SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SPAL might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lecce that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+5%)
Lecce - SPAL Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 15).
Lecce has the most likely position - 1 (40.74%), has project points - 72, has currently - 62, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (28%), has a good chance of promoted (80%), has a chance of win league (41%).
SPAL has the most likely position - 15 (93.57%), has project points - 39, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
This event has quality32, importance50, match rating41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lecce won 0.
Lecce is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
SPAL is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Lecce is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Lecce won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
Watch
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