Match Info

2. Liga - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Huber-Arena (Wels)

Referee: Talic A. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	SPG Wels		Austria Wien II

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.4	3
	2.82	3.35	2.32
	2.92	3.51	2.37
	2.72	3.33	2.49	Watch
	2.84	3.42	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.2)	3.4 ↓ (3.63)	2.52 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPG Wels
35.1%

Draw
27.6%

Austria Wien II
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

25.8%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPG Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SPG Wels's form might have worsened.

Austria Wien II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Austria Wien II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPG Wels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien II than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Austria Wien II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

SPG Wels - Austria Wien II Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. SPG Wels will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Austria Wien II will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Austria Wien II (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Austria Wien II will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Austria Wien II (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cechal M. (G) 3. Luan 4. Feyrer S. (C) 28. Gobara P. 19. Forjan M. 7. Schwaighofer J. 23. Cirkovic M. 6. Muller P. 8. Radics A. 33. Bosnjak A. 9. Gashi A.	1. Jusic K. (G) 24. Wojnar N. 4. Ilic A. 21. Fischer F. 18. Nisandzic D. 12. Sawicki M. 20. Morth R. 19. Lukic F. 77. Osterreicher M. 23. Aleksa K. 16. Hosiner P. (C)
Substitutes
12. Brugger M. 22. Conte K. 42. Lechner F. 20. Malinowski S. 38. Obermuller P. 44. Schrocker K. (G) 14. Tischler L.	8. Abdi O. 13. Blazevic S. (G) 9. Deshishku H. 22. Holler J. 27. Nnodim D. 28. Stoger M. 26. Zdichynec N.
Coaches
Heinle C.	Uhlig M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Feyrer S. ↓, Tischler L. ↑,
28', Gobara P. ↓, Brugger M. ↑,
38', Aleksa K. 🟨,
45+1', Luan 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Lukic F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cirkovic M. ↓, Conte K. ↑,
50', Luan 🟨,
62', Aleksa K. ↓, Nnodim D. ↑,
68', Tischler L. 🟨,
72', Schwaighofer J. ↓, Malinowski S. ↑,
74', Hosiner P. ↓, Stoger M. ↑,
74', Morth R. ↓, Abdi O. ↑,
89', Lukic F. ↓, Holler J. ↑,
89', Osterreicher M. ↓, Deshishku H. ↑,
90', Jusic K. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6).

Recent form of SPG Wels has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Austria Wien II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

SPG Wels may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

SPG Wels is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPG Wels
Austrian OFB Cup
26.08.25	SPG Wels - St. Pölten	2:3 penalties ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
22.08.25	Admira - SPG Wels	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	SPG Wels - Amstetten	1:0 ✺
08.08.25	Austria Lustenau - SPG Wels	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	SPG Wels - Floridsdorfer AC	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLL
- Austria Wien II
Austrian 2 Liga
24.08.25	Rapid Wien II - Austria Wien II	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Austria Wien II - Admira	1:1 ✺
08.08.25	Austria Klagenfurt - Austria Wien II	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Austria Wien II - St. Pölten	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Austria Wien II - Horn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WTWLT

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