The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saarbrücken 66.4%
Draw 19.4%
Freiburg II 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.1%
18.3%
11.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
15.8%
13.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saarbrücken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Freiburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saarbrücken that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
13.3%
20%
Saarbrücken - Freiburg II Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Saarbrücken will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Freiburg II will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Saarbrücken: 42.8% – 90.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schreiber T. (G) 29. Boeder L. 8. Zeitz M. (C) 14. Uaferro B. 7. Rizzuto C. 33. Kerber L. 6. Sontheimer P. 23. Civeja T. 19. Gaus M. 22. Stehle S. F. 25. Naifi A.
40. Sauter N. (C) 16. Rosenfelder M. 5. Rudlin F. 27. Lang N. 17. Fallmann P. 42. Marino L. 8. Lienhard P. 36. Ambros L. 3. Lungwitz A. 41. Manzambi J. 18. Al Ghaddioui H.
Substitutes
17. Becker D. 15. Becker R. 9. Brunker K. 21. Di Michele Sanchez F. 31. Neudecker R. 30. Paterok T. (G) 10. Rabihic K. 34. Recktenwald F.
25. Bichsel J. 19. Bouebari F. 6. Braun-Schumacher S. 38. Schneller L. (G) 46. Sturm Y. 43. Wagner N. 20. Worner M. 48. Yilmaz B.
Coaches
Ziehl R.
Staib U.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Naifi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Stehle S. F. ⚽, Kerber L. (A),
65', Gaus M. ↓, Rabihic K. ↑,
65', Naifi A. ↓, Di Michele Sanchez F. ↑,
67', Lungwitz A. ↓, Yilmaz B. ↑,
67', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Wagner N. ↑,
73', Sontheimer P. 🟨,
76', 2 - 0, Uaferro B. ⚽,
77', Civeja T. ↓, Neudecker R. ↑,
77', Lienhard P. ↓, Sturm Y. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Al Ghaddioui H. ⚽, Yilmaz B. (A),
83', Rudlin F. 🟨,
88', Ambros L. ↓, Braun-Schumacher S. ↑,
88', Fallmann P. ↓, Worner M. ↑,
89', Schreiber T. ↓, Paterok T. ↑,
89', Kerber L. ↓, Brunker K. ↑,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Freiburg II is Relegated to
Last 5 head-to-head matches Saarbrücken won 2.
Recent matches Saarbrücken is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Freiburg II is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Saarbrücken could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Saarbrücken is absolute favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Saarbrücken won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Saarbrücken won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.