Match Info

3. Liga - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Ingolstadt		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.8	2.55	Watch
	2.4	3.7	2.52
	2.33	3.95	2.72
	2.17	3.97	2.74	Watch
	2.44	3.78	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.17)	3.84 ↓ (3.97)	2.61 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
39.7%

Draw
24.4%

Saarbrücken
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

23.4%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

22.7%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Ingolstadt - Saarbrücken Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Saarbrücken will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saarbrücken (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Eisele K. (G) 20. Deichmann Y. 32. Lorenz S. (C) 15. Scholz J. 19. Rosenlocher L. 14. Plath M. 22. Costly M. 8. Carlsen F. 17. Besuschkow M. 10. Kaygin D. 11. Christensen F.	13. Menzel P. (G) 18. Wilhelm L. 32. Bormuth R. 4. Sonnenberg S. 7. Rizzuto C. 17. Elongo-Yombo R. 15. Kamara A. 5. Krahn E. 10. Rabihic K. 9. Brunker K. 20. Pick F.
Substitutes
9. Borchers M. 24. Christensen G. 3. Decker E. 34. Frode L. 47. Klein D. (G) 29. Kugel J. 23. Maljojoki J. 33. Sekulovic D. 7. Sturm Y.	30. Baumann D. 27. Bichsel J. 22. Caliskaner K. 23. Civeja T. 2. Fahrner P. 11. Multhaup M. 31. Neudecker R. 1. Paterok T. (G) 39. Schmidt P.
Coaches
Wittmann S.	Schwartz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Kaygin D. ⚽, Besuschkow M. (A),
28', Brunker K. 🟨,
38', Rosenlocher L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Krahn E. ↓, Fahrner P. ↑,
46', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Caliskaner K. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Brunker K. ⚽, Pick F. (A),
59', Christensen F. ↓, Borchers M. ↑,
71', Kaygin D. ↓, Sturm Y. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Sturm Y. ⚽, Besuschkow M. (A),
88', Rabihic K. ↓, Baumann D. ↑,
88', Bormuth R. ↓, Neudecker R. ↑,
89', Costly M. ↓, Christensen G. ↑,
90+4', Besuschkow M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
18.10.25	Alemannia Aachen - Ingolstadt	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846	4:1 ✺
01.10.25	Verl - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Duisburg - Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Ingolstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWTLT
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
18.10.25	Saarbrücken - Verl	2:4 ✺
04.10.25	Jahn Regensburg - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Saarbrücken - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Saarbrücken - Schweinfurt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
01.02.25	Ingolstadt - Saarbrücken	1:0
24.08.24	Saarbrücken - Ingolstadt	2:3
27.01.24	Saarbrücken - Ingolstadt	0:2
26.08.23	Ingolstadt - Saarbrücken	2:2
18.02.23	Saarbrücken - Ingolstadt	3:4
13.08.22	Ingolstadt - Saarbrücken	0:0
08.05.21	Ingolstadt - Saarbrücken	0:0

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