Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 6

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Lohmühle (Lubeck)

Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Lübeck		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.8	1.7
	4.33	4	1.7	Watch
	4.57	4.32	1.7
	4.33	3.6	1.65
	4.4	4.05	1.67	Watch
	4.3	3.8	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (3.85)	3.93 ↑ (3.65)	1.68 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
21.3%

Draw
23.6%

Dynamo Dresden
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

25.2%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

24.7%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lübeck - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: Dynamo Dresden will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klewin P. (G) 22. Sommer L. 8. Egerer F. 27. Reddemann S. 37. Sternberg J. 20. Taffertshofer U. 31. Boland M. (C) 29. Facklam M. 25. Gozusirin T. 21. Velasco R. 33. Schneider J.	1. Drljaca S. (G) 15. Kammerknecht C. 31. Lewald J. 33. Kraulich T. 8. Meier J. 28. Will P. 19. Herrmann L. 27. Hauptmann N. 10. Lemmer J. 30. Kutschke S. (C) 22. Zimmerschied T.
Substitutes
39. Breier P. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 11. Drinkuth F. 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 17. Grupe T. 7. Hauptmann M. 19. Kirschke F. (G) 30. Lohden J. 13. Thiel M.	6. Berger T. 29. Borkowski D. 35. Broll K. (G) 23. Bunning L. 21. Meissner R. 24. Menzel T. 25. Oehmichen J. 9. Schaffler M. 7. Vlachodimos P.
Coaches
Pfeiffer L.	Anfang M.

Preview

Recent matches Lübeck is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dynamo Dresden is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lübeck could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dynamo Dresden is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
02.09.23	Ulm 1846 - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
26.08.23	Lübeck - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
22.08.23	1860 München - Lübeck	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Lübeck	2:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
14.08.23	Lübeck - Hoffenheim	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTWTL
- Dynamo Dresden
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Dynamo Dresden - Freital	6:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
02.09.23	Dynamo Dresden - Ingolstadt	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Dynamo Dresden	0:2 ✺
22.08.23	Dynamo Dresden - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1 ✺
18.08.23	Sandhausen - Dynamo Dresden	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
14.02.21	Dynamo Dresden - Lübeck	3:1
17.10.20	Lübeck - Dynamo Dresden	0:1

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