Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell)


	Sabadell		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	1.73	3.2	4.4
	1.7	3.3	4.6
	1.77	3.3	4.2
	1.77	3.42	4.84
	1.95	3.1	3.8
	1.71	3.38	4.7
	1.78	3.35	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.9)	3.29 ↑ (3.23)	4.37 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
51.5%

Draw
27.7%

Athletic Bilbao B
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

27.1%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Sabadell - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sabadell will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Athletic Bilbao B will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabadell: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Sabadell is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Athletic Bilbao B is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athletic Bilbao B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Athletic Bilbao B have a series of home games.

In this match Sabadell is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.12.22	Osasuna B - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Real Murcia - Sabadell	3:1 ✺
08.12.22	Sabadell - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
26.11.22	Sabadell - SD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWT
- Athletic Bilbao B
Club Friendly
30.12.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Rayo Cantabria	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.12.22	Athletic Bilbao B - SD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
11.12.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Atlético Baleares	0:1 ✺
08.12.22	Alcoyano - Athletic Bilbao B	3:3 ✺
04.12.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Cornellà	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLTT

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